| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sell | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.76 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.72 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.70 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.64 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.58 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.50 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 592.33 | 857.92 | 1,043.25 | 563.22 |
| Receivables | 1,240.22 | 1,158.95 | 1,201.68 | 1,391.20 |
| Inventory | 1,035.58 | 971.76 | 934.31 | 1,172.56 |
| Other | 276.02 | 304.15 | 315.58 | 334.74 |
| 3,144.16 | 3,292.77 | 3,494.82 | 3,461.72 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 364.39 | 350.55 | 358.37 | 458.48 |
| ST’ Debt | 40.51 | 38.79 | 44.29 | 88.79 |
| Other | 404.00 | — | — | — |
| 843.71 | 834.85 | 1,258.81 | 1,488.40 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Nov | Feb | May | Aug | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 2,120.31 | 2,132.02 | 2,483.25 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,909.60 | 1,754.38 | 2,019.98 | 2,114.52 |
7,798.48
|
| ’24 | 2,003.05 | 1,848.29 | 2,078.49 | 1,996.15 |
7,925.97
|
| ’23 | 2,227.31 | 2,018.00 | 2,344.99 | 2,209.23 |
8,799.53
|
| ’22 | 1,981.80 | 2,008.89 | 2,515.73 | 2,407.07 |
8,913.48
|
| ’21 | 1,391.80 | 1,462.27 | 1,845.04 | 2,030.65 |
6,729.76
|
| ’20 | 1,384.71 | 1,340.96 | 1,341.68 | 1,409.13 |
5,476.49
|
| Nov | Feb | May | Aug | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 204.19 | 166.27 | 232.57 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 213.02 | 32.44 | 154.40 | 315.21 |
715.07
|
| ’24 | 261.06 | 88.96 | 197.87 | 351.82 |
899.71
|
| ’23 | 372.37 | 186.54 | 375.77 | 409.42 |
1,344.10
|
| ’22 | 25.78 | 28.59 | 187.38 | 458.56 |
700.31
|
| ’21 | (12.09) | 13.29 | 93.03 | 134.24 |
228.47
|
| ’20 | 146.42 | 107.00 | 278.42 | 259.37 |
791.20
|
| Nov | Feb | May | Aug | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 79.07 | 45.43 | 79.29 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 100.00 | (53.72) | 65.12 | 206.61 |
318.01
|
| ’24 | 194.07 | (4.43) | 115.45 | 271.11 |
576.19
|
| ’23 | 239.32 | 30.34 | 225.28 | 243.51 |
738.44
|
| ’22 | (42.95) | 215.32 | 90.00 | 303.10 |
565.47
|
| ’21 | (48.55) | (17.60) | 58.87 | 78.01 |
70.73
|
| ’20 | 110.51 | 60.32 | 241.00 | 203.60 |
615.43
|
| Nov | Feb | May | Aug | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.58 | 0.83 | 1.55 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (1.54) | 0.22 | 0.73 | 1.35 |
0.74
|
| ’24 | 1.49 | 0.73 | 1.02 | 0.90 |
4.14
|
| ’23 | 2.20 | 1.51 | 1.98 | 1.56 |
7.25
|
| ’22 | 1.90 | 3.12 | 2.54 | 2.40 |
9.95
|
| ’21 | 0.53 | 0.55 | 1.07 | 1.24 |
3.38
|
| ’20 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 0.56 |
2.32
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 31.47 | 39.85 | 47.42 | 37.92 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 50.83 | 58.09 | 64.53 | 71.99 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12,483 | 13,022 | 13,178 | 12,690 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.71 | 0.68 | 0.60 | 0.61 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,913.48 | 8,799.53 | 7,925.97 | 7,798.48 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20.83% | 20.59% | 17.14% | 15.65% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,515.15 | 1,121.97 | 635.67 | 107.55 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.00% | 12.75% | 8.02% | 1.38% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,217.26 | 859.76 | 485.49 | 84.66 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 175.02 | 218.83 | 280.37 | 285.88 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 73.88 | 75.16 | 68.42 | 69.02 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 10.09 | 7.34 | 4.19 | 0.75 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.80 | 11.48 | 7.77 | 6.33 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.12) | (5.17) | (2.79) | (3.51) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.69 | 6.31 | 4.97 | 2.81 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 27.24 | 35.20 | 37.12 | 37.11 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 120.65 | 117.08 | 115.85 | 112.99 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.01 | 7.67 | 12.16 | 73.35 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.55 | 0.75 | 0.74 | 0.83 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.49 | 1.60 | 1.37 | 1.54 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.64 | 0.81 | 0.79 | 0.87 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.11 | 9.69 | 10.82 | 21.30 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 700.31 | 1,344.10 | 899.71 | 715.07 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (134.84) | (605.66) | (323.51) | (397.06) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 565.47 | 738.44 | 576.19 | 318.01 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,084.48 | 2,300.44 | 2,457.92 | 2,236.01 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,502.05 | 1,154.80 | 1,189.62 | 1,354.30 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 829.45 | 562.47 | 331.70 | 311.04 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,286.43 | 4,121.11 | 4,300.02 | 4,193.33 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.38% | 13.35% | 7.22% | 1.21% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.91% | 15.56% | 9.31% | 7.21% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 43.62% | 23.21% | 11.53% | 1.99% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Commercial Metals Company (CMC), a powerhouse in U.S. steel reinforcement and metals recycling, has masterfully surfed the steel industry’s wild cycles—exploding revenues from $3.6B in 2016 to a $8.9B peak in 2022 via sky-high prices and the game-changing Gerdau mini-mill acquisition that boosted capacity 50%. Operational leverage shone bright, with revenue per employee hitting $714K and ROE soaring to 43.6%, but 2023-2025 brought normalization, revenues dipping to ~$7.8B and earnings cratering amid price deflation—setting up what looks like a classic trough.
The rebound narrative is electric: Analysts forecast a V-shaped surge, with 2026 revenues jumping 17% to $9.1B, EPS rocketing to $7.05 (+867% YoY), and ROE rebounding toward 20%, fueled by the $1T+ Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act driving rebar demand, potential tariffs, and green steel tailwinds. Insider optimism underscores this—CEO’s recent buys signal confidence at cycle lows—while CMC’s lean balance sheet (low debt) and U.S.-focus provide resilience.
Trading at a forward 11x 2026 PE below historical norms, CMC screams undervalued coiled spring, with consensus targets eyeing 6% near-term upside (high case 15%) and DCF models pointing to 10%+ fair value. Probabilistic models peg a 65% shot at blowout 2026 EPS—positioning shares for 20-30% total returns through 2028 on flawless execution. Dive deeper for the full quantitative firepower!
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