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Burford Capital Limited BUR

Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

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Get access to target analyst prices, predictions, compound annual growth rates and more than four years of historical data.

Insider Decisions

in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy
Sell
Insider Ownership
9.45%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
895.90
Revenue
(1,506.48)
Net Income
(1,693.54)
Free Cash Flow
(184.86)
Net Debt
1,656.08
Current Ratio
9.56
Debt/Equity
1.64
P/E ratio
0.00
P/S ratio
0.00
P/B ratio
0.59
Past 5Y EPS Growth
(7.52%)
This Y EPS Growth
(2,522.70%)
Next Y EPS Growth
107.38%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
0.12%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.10
Annual Dividend Rate
0.12
Annual Dividend Yield
0.88%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡‡
2026 0.04
2025 0.15
2024 0.13
2023 0.13
2022 0.13
2021 0.19
2020 ‡‡‡‡‡
2019 0.13
2018 0.12
2017 0.10
2016 0.08
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 328.11 548.95 655.92 747.26
Receivables
Inventory
Other
328.11 548.95 655.92 747.26
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables
ST’ Debt
Other
34.42 12.10 60.03 78.18
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (1,720.37) 110.68
’25 118.86 191.29 69.80 33.41
413.36
’24 44.30 159.65 249.11 93.03
546.09
’23 380.91 44.55 368.87 292.57
1,086.90
’22 123.10 32.15 (12.70) 161.34
319.23
’21 72.98
217.33
’20 182.27 25.34
359.12
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (136.63) 51.98
’25 155.17 (84.23) (20.05) (79.90)
(29.01)
’24 52.96 (97.38) 279.80 (18.66)
216.73
’23 (16.09) (203.77) 15.61 (70.43)
(274.68)
’22 (52.38) (88.40) (53.81) (271.52)
(466.10)
’21 122.34 (585.36)
(585.36)
’20 (45.16) 53.83
53.83
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (136.67) 51.93
’25 155.15 (84.33) (20.11) (80.00)
(29.30)
’24 52.92 (97.42) 279.75 (19.18)
216.06
’23 (16.81) (206.02) 15.62 (70.69)
(277.89)
’22 (52.42) (88.41) (53.93) (271.75)
(466.51)
’21 122.34 (585.65)
(585.65)
’20 (45.16) 53.47
53.47
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (7.46) 0.01
’25 0.14 0.39 (0.09) (0.17)
0.28
’24 (0.14) 0.24 0.61 (0.06)
0.66
’23 1.17 (0.10) 1.22 0.45
2.74
’22 (0.10) 0.24
0.14
’21 (0.31)
(0.33)
’20 0.68 0.10
0.78

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

2
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 6.94 6.09 12.07 8.19
Low Price
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11.20 17.70 16.77 15.73
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ 158 16 160 172
Employees
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.02 67.93 3.41 2.40
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 319.23 1,086.90 546.09 413.36 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 109.02 738.28 253.59 84.03
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 34.15% 67.93% 46.44% 20.33% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 97.46 718.20 229.58 72.19 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4.36 5.53
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.46 4.97 2.49 1.89 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.14 2.79 0.66 0.28 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (2.13) (1.25) 0.99 (0.13)
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 0.00 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (2.13) (1.27) 0.99 (0.13)
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 10.91 14.66 14.86 14.27
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 218.76 218.87 219.23 219.15 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.00 5.41 19.03 31.86 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 6.01 3.04 5.12 4.73 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.77 1.03 0.86 0.63 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 9.34 4.15 7.35 8.30 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (6.08) (16.24) 18.57 (117.04)
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (466.10) (274.68) 216.73 (29.01) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.41) (3.21) (0.66) (0.28)
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (466.51) (277.89) 216.06 (29.30)
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 227.20 293.69 536.85 595.89
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,254.68 1,534.73 1,763.61 2,127.83
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,010.66 1,206.62 1,214.66 1,471.91
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2,387.07 3,207.78 3,256.84 3,127.73
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.76% 12.06% 2.44% 0.98%
ROA
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.59% 11.55% 5.46% 3.15%
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.36% 21.82% 4.53% 1.96%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Burford Capital (BUR) exemplifies the high-upside potential of litigation finance, a scalable asset class with lumpy but transformative realizations. Revenues surged 241% to $1.087 billion in 2023 on the YPF Argentina win, dipped 50% to $546 million in 2024 amid expected volatility, yet remain 71% above pre-2023 levels. Forecasts signal robust growth: $708 million (+30%) in 2025, $925 million (+31%) in 2026, and $1.059 billion (+14%) in 2027, driving EPS from $0.66 to $2.27—a 244% compound rise. Trading at a 0.86x P/B discount to book value and forward P/E compressing to 6x by 2027, BUR screams undervaluation versus its efficiency (100% gross margins, ROE peaking at 21.8%).

Profitability shines through capital leverage: net income rebounded to forecasts of $516 million by 2027, with positive FCF ($0.99/share in 2024) fueling deployments without dilution. Book value per share compounded 71% since 2020 to $14.86, bolstered by a resilient balance sheet (net debt $1.21 billion vs. $3.26 billion equity). Insider conviction via a key officer’s $335k buy near lows offsets sell noise, while analyst consensus targets imply 107% average upside (70-160% range), tied to a diversified pipeline amid global dispute backlogs.

BUR’s trajectory positions it for dominance, with ROE north of 19% and revenues hitting $1B+ annually by 2027—mirroring 15x revenue multiples for early entrants. Despite case risks, statistical diversification and metrics like 11.6% ROIC de-risk the flywheel, setting up explosive catch-up from 47% below 2023 highs. Dive into the full analysis for the quant models and probability breakdowns.

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

17 Sep

3 , 5:47 PM
Burford Capital priced $300M in secured debt as part of refinancing, with uncertainty over whether the move sufficiently extends its financial runway. Debt refinancing affects liquidity and capital structure but does not alter core operations or long-term competitive positioning.

14 Sep

3 , 7:50 AM
Burford Capital Limited announces private offering of senior secured notes. Private offering of senior secured notes increases Burford Capital's available debt capital and liquidity.

17 Aug

3 , 10:59 AM
Sell-side analysts overlook Burford Capital's (BUR) highly profitable Protein Cases. Overlooked Protein Cases may lift Burford valuation and sentiment once recognized.

9 Aug

3 , 3:15 AM
Analysts cut Burford Capital (BUR) fair value after reworking risk assessments and valuation multiples. Fair value reduction signals adjusted risk view likely to pressure near-term stock valuation and sentiment.

7 Aug

3 www.marketbeat.com, 9:03 PM
Burford Capital Q2 earnings call highlighted revenue growth, higher assets under management, and favorable case resolutions in its legal finance portfolio. Q2 results signal moderate growth in core operations with limited immediate shift to overall trajectory.

21 May

4 Simply Wall St., 4:10 AM
Burford Capital Limited posted a huge Q1 loss and announced a dividend decision that directly pressures shareholder value and future returns. Large quarterly loss plus dividend action signals major near-term pressure on financial results and investor sentiment.

16 May

4 Simply Wall St., 12:25 AM
Burford Capital Limited posted a Q1 2026 loss and negative revenue that shocked investors and triggered a fresh valuation review. Q1 2026 loss and negative revenue are set to drive down investor confidence and Burford Capital's market valuation.

12 May

3 www.semafor.com, 12:09 PM
Burford Capital Limited signals intent to pursue ownership stakes in major law firms through litigation finance strategies. Pursuit of big law ownership could moderately expand Burford Capital Limited's market reach in legal funding.

11 May

3 MT Newswires, 10:58 AM
Wedbush states Burford Capital's Q1 results were largely driven by a non-cash write-down on YPF. Non-cash YPF write-down notably affects Q1 financials and investor sentiment but has limited long-term impact.

9 May

4 www.marketbeat.com, 12:05 PM
Burford Capital released Q1 earnings call highlights detailing financial performance, litigation portfolio updates, and strategic outlook. Q1 earnings call highlights disclose recent financial results and forward guidance, poised to significantly sway investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

4 GuruFocus.com, 3:02 AM
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Q1 2026 earnings call highlights strong liquidity and new developments. Strong liquidity bolsters financial stability and enables new growth opportunities for Burford Capital.

8 May

4 PR Newswire, 7:00 AM
Burford Capital Limited reported financial results for the first quarter of 2026. Quarterly financial results directly affect investor sentiment, stock valuation, and future performance expectations.

29 Apr

3 Zacks, 10:00 AM
Analysts forecast a decline in Burford Capital Limited (BUR) Q1 earnings, with EPS expected at $0.60 versus $0.89 last year, amid lower portfolio returns and realizations. Expected Q1 earnings decline highlights potential weakness in financial performance, influencing investor sentiment ahead of the report.

26 Apr

3 Insider Monkey, 11:13 AM
Burford Capital (BUR) appears highly attractive to investors due to strong litigation finance returns, robust balance sheet, high dividend yield, undervalued stock price, and promising pipeline of cases. Highlights key financial strengths and market undervaluation likely to positively influence investor sentiment and short-to-medium term performance.

23 Apr

3 Simply Wall St., 7:07 PM
Burford Capital (AIM:BUR) narrative shifts amid mixed analyst views and risks in key legal cases, with some upgrades to buy ratings but concerns over YPF litigation delays and potential losses. Mixed analyst views and case risks moderately influence Burford Capital's financial performance and investor sentiment.

8 Apr

4 Simply Wall St., 8:07 AM
Burford Capital (AIM:BUR) narrative shifts as analysts recut valuation assumptions. Analysts recutting valuation assumptions shifts Burford Capital's narrative, significantly impacting investor sentiment and market performance.

2 Apr

4 Insider Monkey, 8:04 PM
Wedbush adjusted its outlook on Burford Capital Limited (BUR) following an appeals court decision. Appeals court decision led Wedbush to adjust BUR outlook, potentially altering key litigation finance outcomes and investor sentiment.

31 Mar

4 TipRanks, 9:05 AM
B. Riley lowered its price target for Burford Capital Limited (BUR) to $7.50 from $18. B. Riley's sharp price target cut from $18 to $7.50 for BUR indicates deteriorating analyst outlook, likely to negatively impact stock price and investor sentiment.

30 Mar

5 PR Newswire, 2:00 AM
Burford Capital issues further statement on YPF appeal decision, providing updates on the ongoing litigation finance case against Argentina over YPF nationalization. YPF case holds over $16 billion judgment for Burford's largest asset, making appeal outcomes transformative for valuation and recovery prospects.

28 Mar

5 Business Wire, 4:18 PM
Debevoise & Plimpton secured Second Circuit affirmance of dismissal of $16 billion claim against YPF S.A., delivering major loss to Burford Capital Limited's financed plaintiff position. Affirmance of $16 billion YPF claim dismissal wipes out Burford Capital's largest litigation finance asset, fundamentally threatening its portfolio value and long-term prospects.

5 Simply Wall St., 5:07 AM
Burford Capital (BUR) shares tumbled 46.2% following a Second Circuit Court setback in the YPF litigation case, coupled with warnings of a potential multi-billion-dollar asset write-down that jeopardizes a key investment. YPF case setback and potential massive write-down strike at Burford Capital's core litigation finance model, risking fundamental redefinition of its valuation and prospects.

27 Mar

5 PR Newswire, 5:16 PM
Burford Capital issued a statement on the US appeals court decision upholding the $16.1 billion judgment against YPF in the long-running litigation funded by the firm. YPF appeal decision resolves key uncertainty over Burford's largest asset worth billions, fundamentally reshaping its valuation and prospects.

5 The Wall Street Journal, 1:19 PM
A New York court rejected a $16 billion judgment against Argentina in the YPF nationalization case, delivering a major victory to President Javier Milei and a significant setback to Burford Capital, which financed the hedge funds' litigation and stood to gain substantially from the award. Rejection of the $16 billion YPF verdict eliminates Burford Capital's largest single litigation asset, fundamentally threatening its revenue model and long-term valuation.

18 Mar

4 Associated Press Finance, 9:38 PM
US appeals court temporarily halts investors' efforts to trace Argentine assets in YPF nationalization case, where Burford Capital funds litigation seeking billions in damages from Argentina. Court pause delays critical asset tracing in Burford Capital's flagship YPF case, risking prolonged recovery of multi-billion-dollar judgment and eroding short-term investor confidence.

10 Mar

4 Simply Wall St., 5:08 AM
Burford Capital's narrative shifts amid YPF case developments and analyst reassessments, potentially altering investor perceptions and stock trajectory. YPF litigation advances and analyst upgrades represent major catalysts for Burford Capital's valuation and future performance.

9 Mar

4 Insider Monkey, 8:31 PM
Burford Capital (BUR) reported fiscal Q4 2025 earnings, highlighting key financial results, portfolio performance, and forward guidance for investors. Fiscal Q4 2025 earnings directly impact financial performance and investor sentiment toward Burford Capital's future trajectory.

4 PR Newswire, 9:45 AM
Executive officers of Burford Capital Limited (BUR) made substantial purchases of company shares. Substantial insider buying by executives signals strong confidence in future performance and can significantly boost investor sentiment and stock price.

2 Mar

4 Simply Wall St., 7:10 AM
Burford Capital (BUR) shares dropped 12.5% after announcing a higher dividend despite weaker 2025 results, prompting analysis of recent changes. Weaker 2025 results triggered a 12.5% stock plunge despite higher dividend, indicating major shifts in financial outlook and investor sentiment.

27 Feb

4 www.marketbeat.com, 7:16 PM
Burford Capital released Q4 earnings call highlights covering financial performance, key metrics, strategic updates, and forward guidance. Q4 earnings call highlights detail financial results and outlook that significantly influence Burford Capital's stock performance and investor confidence.

4 app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Burford Capital Limited released Q4 2025 earnings call summary highlighting financial results, portfolio performance, and future outlook. Q4 earnings call summary discloses key financial metrics, litigation outcomes, and guidance directly shaping investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

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