BlackRock

BLK Financial Asset Management

BlackRock’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $24.2 billion, up 18.7% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+19.1%
EPS
+25.5%
Free cash flow
−12.3%
Total debt
−0.22%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

1,181.52 10.85 +0.93%
Market cap
$190.2B
P/E
26.3×
Fwd P/E
14.8×
Dividend yield
1.91%
F-score
4/9
Altman Z
n/a
Beneish M
n/a
Dividend safety
n/a

BlackRock (BLK) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $1,181.52 the price implies 39.0% a year of dividend growth, at a 9.0% cost of equity.

The dividend a share grew 9.1% a year over the last ten years, 7.3% over the last five. The price asks for about four times its ten-year rate.

In December 2017 the price assumed 18.3% a year; BlackRock went on to grow the dividend a share −4.5% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
39.0%
Last 5 years, reported
7.3%
Last 10 years, reported
9.1%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ the dividend a share at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
39.0% a year for ten years
$1,181.52
today’s price
Its base case
9.1% a year for five years, then 5.4%
$119.15
89.9% below today’s price

Both are growth in the dividend a share, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record BlackRock’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Dividends
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in the dividend. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies the dividend a share growing 39.0% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

The model is a share’s own: no debt to take off and no shares to divide among.

Advanced inputs

Against BlackRock’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.38 × equity premium 4.5% = 10.5% cost of equity; weighted, 10.5%.

Use 10.5%
Base case value per share $119.15 ten years discounted, and what follows
Current price $1,181.52 market price per share
Below today’s price 89.9% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$49.60 10 years of dividends+$69.56 terminal value=$119.15 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Asset Management).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 26.34× 24.57× 21.76× 21% above 13.38× 97% above
P/FCF 51.71× 37.34× 32.17× 61% above 7.79× 564% above
P/B 3.14× 3.04× 2.89× 9% above 0.91× 246% above
EV/EBITDA — 18.88× 18.35× — 3.38× —
EV/Sales — 7.14× 7.08× — 3.90× —
24.29×32.86×41.43×50.01×10Y avg 32.17×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

BLK trades at 51.71× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 32.17× (range 21.75×–51.71×). That is dearer than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $735.04 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.