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Saturday 7 November 2026 Export ARW’s income statement to Excel — free account

Arrow Electronics, Inc.

ARW Technology Electronics & Computer Distribution

Arrow Electronics, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $30.9 billion, up 10.5% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+39.0%
EPS
+196.3%
Free cash flow
−50.1%
Total debt
−12.1%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

181.09 4.02 +2.27%
Market cap
$9.0B
P/E
9.1×
Fwd P/E
9.0×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
5/9
Altman Z
1.90
Beneish M
−2.03
Dividend safety
n/a
Overview Business Profile Earnings & Analysis
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios
Segments Valuation Filings

Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $181.09 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 4.1% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 4.0% a year over the last ten years, −10.9% over the last five. The price asks for close to its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 14.5%.

Price implies
4.1%
Last 5 years, reported
−10.9%
Last 10 years, reported
4.0%
Industry median implies
14.5%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
4.1% a year for ten years
$181.09
today’s price
Its base case
4.0% a year for five years, then 2.4%
$168.08
7.2% below today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Arrow Electronics, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 4.1% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
Free cash flow Revenue and margin
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Arrow Electronics, Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.21 × equity premium 4.5% = 9.7% cost of equity; weighted, 9.7%.

Use 9.7%
Equity value $8.72b ▼ below market cap $9.39b
Base case value per share $168.08 equity value ÷ 51.86m shares
Current price $181.09 market price per share
Below today’s price 7.2% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$5.13b 10 years of cash to equity+$6.13b terminal value−$2.54b net debt=$8.72b equity value÷51.86m shares=$168.08 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Electronics & Computer Distribution).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 9.06× 9.35× 10.71× 15% below 13.29× 32% below
P/FCF 13.75× 12.74× 18.65× 26% below 17.66× 22% below
P/B 1.27× 1.11× 1.28× 1% below 1.58× 20% below
EV/EBITDA 7.13× 7.13× 9.48× 25% below 10.46× 32% below
EV/Sales 0.30× 0.30× 0.32× 5% below 0.33× 10% below
P/E P/FCF P/B EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
10.18×19.95×29.71×39.47×10Y avg 18.65×20162018201920202021202320242026

ARW trades at 13.75× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 18.65× (range 5.78×–42.24×). That is dearer than 57% of the last 7 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $245.58 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.