Aramark
ARMK Industrials Specialty Business Services
Aramark’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $18.5 billion, up 6.35% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +9.33%
- EPS
- +37.0%
- Free cash flow
- +125.9%
- Total debt
- −2.62%
Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier
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Aramark (ARMK) valuation and DCF model
At $52.00 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 17.6% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 6.4% a year over the last ten years. The price asks for about three times its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 14.5%.
In September 2017 the price assumed 13.2% a year; Aramark went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 3.3% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 17.6% a year for ten years
- $52.00
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 6.4% a year for five years, then 3.8%
- $7.75
- 85.1% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Aramark’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$3.36b 10 years of cash to equity+$4.34b terminal value−$5.63b net debt=$2.07b equity value÷267.15m shares=$7.75 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 37.36× | 29.48× | 24.58× | 52% above | 25.69× | 45% above | |
| P/FCF | — | 40.79× | 40.79× | — | 16.50× | — | |
| P/B | 4.24× | 2.90× | 2.64× | 60% above | 2.31× | 83% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.40× | 13.18× | 13.19× | 9% above | 11.75× | 23% above | |
| EV/Sales | 1.01× | 0.86× | 0.90× | 13% above | 1.57× | 36% below |
ARMK trades at 14.40× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 13.19× (range 9.44×–18.96×). That is dearer than 67% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $45.83 per share.