Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN Consumer Cyclical Internet Retail
Amazon.com, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $716.9 billion, up 12.4% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +12.1%
- EPS
- −3.24%
- Free cash flow
- −2,679.5%
- Total debt
- +241.2%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) valuation and DCF model
At $260.23 the price implies revenue of $3,800.38 billion by year ten, growing 16.9% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew −5.2% a year over the last ten years.
- The price needs
- 16.9% a year for ten years
- $260.23
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 21.0% a year for five years, then 12.6%
- $256.91
- 1.3% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Amazon.com, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$369.45b 10 years of cash to equity+$2.49t terminal value−$58.90b net debt=$2.80t equity value÷10.88b shares=$256.91 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 20.76× | 38.50× | 75.96× | 73% below | 23.90× | 13% below | |
| P/FCF | — | 81.94× | 68.78× | — | 15.07× | — | |
| P/B | 4.58× | 6.45× | 11.40× | 60% below | 1.80× | 154% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.61× | 16.89× | 23.11× | 32% below | 17.34× | 10% below | |
| EV/Sales | 3.60× | 2.96× | 3.18× | 13% above | 0.77× | 369% above |
AMZN trades at 20.76× P/E, against a 10-year average of 75.96× (range 20.76×–188.43×). That is cheaper than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $952.20 per share.