Autoliv, Inc.
ALV Consumer Cyclical Auto Parts
Autoliv, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $10.8 billion, up 4.09% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- −0.48%
- EPS
- −6.99%
- Free cash flow
- −18.3%
- Total debt
- −4.64%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) valuation and DCF model
At $123.84 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 1.7% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 7.5% a year over the last ten years, 11.1% over the last five. The price asks for less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 12.3%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 12.2% a year; Autoliv, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 9.1% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 1.7% a year for ten years
- $123.84
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 7.5% a year for five years, then 4.5%
- $182.04
- 47.0% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Autoliv, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$6.57b 10 years of cash to equity+$8.77b terminal value−$1.74b net debt=$13.61b equity value÷74.78m shares=$182.04 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.81× | 14.78× | 20.39× | 27% below | 14.81× | 0% above | |
| P/FCF | — | 20.43× | 20.43× | — | 10.18× | — | |
| P/B | 3.64× | 3.33× | 3.19× | 14% above | 1.16× | 215% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.46× | 7.80× | 8.16× | 9% below | 7.39× | 1% above | |
| EV/Sales | 0.97× | 0.95× | 1.02× | 5% below | 0.67× | 45% above |
ALV trades at 14.81× P/E, against a 10-year average of 20.39× (range 11.62×–43.04×). That is cheaper than 78% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $170.45 per share.