Airbnb, Inc.
ABNB Consumer Cyclical Travel Services
Airbnb, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $12.2 billion, up 10.3% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +18.9%
- EPS
- +42.7%
- Free cash flow
- +11.2%
- Total debt
- +18.7%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) valuation and DCF model
At $186.77 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 11.8% a year for ten years.
The industry’s median company is priced for 8.3%.
In December 2021 the price assumed 38.5% a year; Airbnb, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 21.8% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 11.8% a year for ten years
- $186.77
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 5.0% a year for five years, then 3.0%
- $112.27
- 39.9% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Airbnb, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$25.89b 10 years of cash to equity+$31.95b terminal value+$10.22b net cash=$68.06b equity value÷606.25m shares=$112.27 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 31.49× | 28.52× | 28.52× | 10% above | 19.05× | 65% above | |
| P/FCF | 20.29× | 19.07× | 23.36× | 13% below | 13.14× | 54% above | |
| P/B | 10.79× | 10.21× | 12.86× | 16% below | 2.71× | 298% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 29.45× | 32.67× | 55.52× | 47% below | 13.28× | 122% above | |
| EV/Sales | 6.62× | 6.58× | 9.52× | 30% below | 3.26× | 103% above |
ABNB trades at 10.79× P/B, against a 10-year average of 12.86× (range 9.73×–21.48×). That is dearer than 67% of the last 6 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $222.47 per share.