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Friday 6 November 2026 Export WCN’s income statement to Excel — free account

Waste Connections, Inc.

WCN Industrials Waste Management

Waste Connections, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $9.5 billion, up 6.14% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+7.31%
EPS
+28.8%
Free cash flow
+2.74%
Total debt
+8.87%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

190.96 0.85 −0.44%
Market cap
$48.0B
P/E
42.7×
Fwd P/E
39.5×
Dividend yield
0.75%
F-score
6/9
Altman Z
3.11
Beneish M
−2.72
Dividend safety
79/100
Overview Business Profile Earnings & Analysis
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios
Valuation Filings

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $190.96 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 18.5% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 13.3% a year over the last ten years, 8.0% over the last five. The price asks for close to its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 13.8%.

In December 2017 the price assumed 11.9% a year; Waste Connections, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 6.5% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
18.5%
Last 5 years, reported
8.0%
Last 10 years, reported
13.3%
Industry median implies
13.8%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
18.5% a year for ten years
$190.96
today’s price
Its base case
13.3% a year for five years, then 8.0%
$92.19
51.7% below today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Waste Connections, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 18.5% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
Free cash flow Revenue and margin
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Waste Connections, Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.42 × equity premium 4.5% = 6.2% cost of equity; weighted, 6.2%.

Use 6.2%
Equity value $23.50b ▼ below market cap $48.67b
Base case value per share $92.19 equity value ÷ 254.90m shares
Current price $190.96 market price per share
Below today’s price 51.7% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$12.73b 10 years of cash to equity+$20.19b terminal value−$9.42b net debt=$23.50b equity value÷254.90m shares=$92.19 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Waste Management).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 42.72× 49.44× 54.64× 22% below 29.71× 44% above
P/FCF 40.51× 35.13× 32.16× 26% above 28.87× 40% above
P/B 6.09× 5.39× 4.54× 34% above 1.22× 398% above
EV/EBITDA 18.69× 19.85× 19.83× 6% below 17.07× 9% above
EV/Sales 5.77× 5.72× 5.57× 4% above 4.15× 39% above
P/E P/FCF P/B EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
15.94×19.36×22.78×26.20×10Y avg 19.83×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

WCN trades at 18.69× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 19.83× (range 15.47×–26.59×). That is cheaper than 56% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $204.87 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.