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Friday 6 November 2026 Export TPL’s income statement to Excel — free account

Texas Pacific Land Corporation

TPL Energy Oil & Gas E&P

Texas Pacific Land Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $798.2 million, up 13.1% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+34.6%
EPS
+38.3%
Free cash flow
+84.0%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

275.50 12.15 −4.22%
Market cap
$18.8B
P/E
32.3×
Fwd P/E
35.9×
Dividend yield
0.85%
F-score
5/9
Altman Z
75.56
Beneish M
−2.25
Dividend safety
77/100
Overview Business Profile Earnings & Analysis
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios
Valuation Filings

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $275.50 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 11.0% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 29.0% a year over the last ten years, 18.5% over the last five. The price asks for less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 2.4%.

In December 2017 the price assumed 18.0% a year; Texas Pacific Land Corporation went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 24.6% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
11.0%
Last 5 years, reported
18.5%
Last 10 years, reported
29.0%
Industry median implies
2.4%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
11.0% a year for ten years
$275.50
today’s price
Its base case
25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
$549.62
99.5% above today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Texas Pacific Land Corporation’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 11.0% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
Free cash flow Revenue and margin
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Texas Pacific Land Corporation’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.57 × equity premium 4.5% = 6.9% cost of equity; weighted, 6.9%.

Use 6.9%
Equity value $37.94b ▲ above market cap $19.02b
Base case value per share $549.62 equity value ÷ 69.03m shares
Current price $275.50 market price per share
Above today’s price 99.5% upside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$12.07b 10 years of cash to equity+$25.50b terminal value+$369.56m net cash=$37.94b equity value÷69.03m shares=$549.62 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Oil & Gas E&P).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 32.34× 39.25× 34.69× 7% below 9.67× 234% above
P/FCF 44.94× 42.88× 38.59× 16% above 8.37× 437% above
P/B 10.54× 15.88× 16.94× 38% below 1.19× 788% above
EV/EBITDA 23.09× 29.58× 24.95× 7% below 4.59× 404% above
EV/Sales 19.25× 24.26× 20.78× 7% below 2.27× 749% above
P/E P/FCF P/B EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
17.17×25.58×33.99×42.41×10Y avg 24.95×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

TPL trades at 23.09× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 24.95× (range 14.09×–44.39×). That is cheaper than 78% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $297.15 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.