Transocean Ltd.
Transocean Ltd.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.0 billion, up 12.5% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- −8.85%
- EPS
- +101.2%
- Free cash flow
- −49.4%
- Total debt
- −19.3%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Transocean Ltd. (RIG) valuation and DCF model
At $5.14 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 0.1% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew −10.8% a year over the last ten years, 11.7% over the last five. The price asks for 10.9 points a year more than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 1.6%.
In December 2017 the price assumed −9.8% a year; Transocean Ltd. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay −6.1% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 0.1% a year for ten years
- $5.14
- today’s price
- Its base case
- −10.0% a year for five years, then −6.0%
- $0.97
- 81.1% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Transocean Ltd.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$3.14b 10 years of cash to equity+$2.17b terminal value−$4.23b net debt=$1.07b equity value÷1.10b shares=$0.97 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 20.30× | 13.78× | 13.78× | 47% above | 11.85× | 71% above | |
| P/FCF | 7.31× | 8.78× | 27.49× | 73% below | 14.65× | 50% below | |
| P/B | 0.68× | 0.44× | 0.34× | 98% above | 1.24× | 45% below | |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.90× | 14.41× | 15.90× | 57% below | 6.73× | 3% above | |
| EV/Sales | 2.48× | 2.97× | 3.01× | 18% below | 2.12× | 17% above |
RIG trades at 6.90× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 15.90× (range 5.29×–34.65×). That is cheaper than 86% of the last 7 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $16.83 per share.