Restaurant Brands International Inc.
QSR Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Restaurant Brands International Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $9.4 billion, up 12.2% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +3.10%
- EPS
- +110.1%
- Free cash flow
- −8.26%
- Total debt
- −2.06%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) valuation and DCF model
At $78.27 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 11.9% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 1.2% a year over the last ten years, 2.5% over the last five. The price asks for more than four times its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 11.6%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 12.2% a year; Restaurant Brands International Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 0.0% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 11.9% a year for ten years
- $78.27
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 1.2% a year for five years, then 0.7%
- $18.97
- 75.8% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Restaurant Brands International Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$10.19b 10 years of cash to equity+$11.05b terminal value−$12.54b net debt=$8.69b equity value÷458.25m shares=$18.97 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 16.32× | 21.04× | 23.73× | 31% below | 26.18× | 38% below | |
| P/FCF | 16.60× | 16.14× | 14.96× | 11% above | 17.92× | 7% below | |
| P/B | 4.94× | 4.66× | 4.40× | 12% above | 2.06× | 140% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.39× | 14.08× | 14.06× | 5% below | 12.81× | 5% above | |
| EV/Sales | 4.08× | 4.36× | 4.83× | 16% below | 1.29× | 215% above |
QSR trades at 13.39× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 14.06× (range 11.29×–18.60×). That is cheaper than 56% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $83.60 per share.