QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM
- Market cap
- $193.6B
- P/E
- 20.9×
Follow QCOM
Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free account| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.24 | 48.92 | 48.56 | 49.10 | 58.00 | 122.17 | 101.93 | 101.47 | 134.94 | 120.80 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
Low Price
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| 71.62 | 69.28 | 76.50 | 94.11 | 161.07 | 192.68 | 193.58 | 146.89 | 230.63 | 205.95 |
High Price
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| 30,500 | 33,800 | 35,400 | 37,000 | 41,000 | 45,000 | 51,000 | 50,000 | 49,000 | 52,000 |
Employees
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| 0.77 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.87 | 0.72 | 0.80 | 0.85 |
Revenue/Emp
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| 23,554 | 22,258 | 22,611 | 24,273 | 23,531 | 33,566 | 44,200 | 35,820 | 38,962 | 44,284 |
Revenue
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| 58.61% | 56.01% | 54.69% | 64.57% | 60.67% | 57.51% | 57.84% | 55.70% | 56.21% | 55.43% |
Gross Margin
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| 6,833 | 2,987 | 392 | 7,481 | 5,719 | 10,274 | 14,998 | 7,443 | 10,336 | 12,663 |
EBT
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| 29.01% | 13.42% | 1.73% | 30.82% | 24.30% | 30.61% | 33.93% | 20.78% | 26.53% | 28.59% |
EBT Margin
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| 5,702 | 2,444 | (4,964) | 4,386 | 5,198 | 9,043 | 12,986 | 7,339 | 10,110 | 5,541 |
Net Income
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| 1,535 | 1,537 | 1,834 | 1,604 | 1,393 | 1,587 | 1,764 | 1,991 | 1,713 | 1,619 |
Depreciation
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| 15.87 | 15.07 | 15.46 | 20.06 | 20.73 | 29.68 | 39.36 | 32.07 | 34.91 | 40.41 |
Revenue/Sh
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| 3.81 | 1.67 | (3.32) | 3.63 | 4.58 | 7.99 | 11.52 | 6.47 | 9.09 | 5.05 |
Earnings/Sh
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| 5.14 | 3.39 | 2.67 | 6.02 | 5.12 | 9.32 | 8.10 | 10.12 | 10.93 | 12.78 |
Cash Flow/Sh
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| (0.36) | (0.47) | 5.74 | (0.57) | (1.24) | (1.67) | (2.01) | (1.18) | (0.92) | (1.07) |
Capex/Sh
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| 4.78 | 2.92 | 8.42 | 5.45 | 3.88 | 7.65 | 6.09 | 8.93 | 10.01 | 11.71 |
Free CF/Sh
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| 21.41 | 20.82 | 0.55 | 4.06 | 5.35 | 8.80 | 16.04 | 19.32 | 23.54 | 19.35 |
Book Value/Sh
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| 1,484 | 1,477 | 1,463 | 1,210 | 1,135 | 1,131 | 1,123 | 1,117 | 1,116 | 1,096 |
Shares
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| 17.89 | 31.07 | 0.00 | 21.07 | 25.64 | 16.14 | 9.82 | 17.17 | 18.71 | 33.54 |
PE Ratio
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| 4.32 | 3.44 | 4.70 | 3.80 | 5.68 | 4.35 | 2.87 | 3.46 | 4.87 | 4.12 |
PS Ratio
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| 3.20 | 2.49 | 131.62 | 18.80 | 21.98 | 14.66 | 7.04 | 5.75 | 7.22 | 8.60 |
PB Ratio
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| 4.02 | 2.75 | 4.89 | 3.95 | 5.87 | 4.45 | 3.08 | 3.58 | 4.91 | 4.20 |
EV/Sales
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| 13.36 | 14.20 | 8.97 | 14.55 | 31.33 | 17.25 | 19.88 | 12.85 | 17.11 | 14.50 |
EV/FCF
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| 7,632 | 5,001 | 3,908 | 7,286 | 5,814 | 10,536 | 9,096 | 11,299 | 12,202 | 14,012 |
Op' Cash Flow
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| (539) | (690) | 8,404 | (689) | (1,407) | (1,885) | (2,257) | (1,323) | (1,031) | (1,178) |
Capex
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| 7,093 | 4,311 | 12,312 | 6,597 | 4,407 | 8,651 | 6,839 | 9,976 | 11,171 | 12,834 |
FCF
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| 15,670 | 32,686 | 5,995 | 7,830 | 9,847 | 8,124 | 8,858 | 12,836 | 14,727 | 16,610 |
Working Cap'
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| 11,757 | 21,893 | 16,370 | 15,933 | 15,726 | 15,745 | 15,482 | 15,398 | 14,634 | 14,811 |
Total Debt
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| (6,891) | (15,415) | 4,282 | 3,673 | 4,512 | 3,331 | 9,100 | 4,074 | 1,334 | 2,333 |
Net Debt
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| 31,768 | 30,746 | 807 | 4,909 | 6,077 | 9,950 | 18,013 | 21,581 | 26,274 | 21,206 |
Sh' Equity
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| 11.06% | 4.15% | (10.11%) | 13.36% | 15.17% | 23.54% | 28.67% | 14.46% | 19.10% | 10.52% |
ROA
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| 16.32% | 10.52% | 7.63% | 55.84% | 36.92% | 46.07% | 36.56% | 18.97% | 22.80% | 32.80% |
ROIC
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| 18.06% | 7.82% | (31.46%) | 153.46% | 94.63% | 112.85% | 92.52% | 36.53% | 42.39% | 23.34% |
ROE
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QUALCOMM Incorporated peers in Semiconductors
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | $197.3B | 47.8× | Compare |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | $238.5B | 87.2× | Compare |
| TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated | $260.2B | 42.5× | Compare |
| ARM ARM Holdings PLC Sponsored ADR | $318.1B | 301× | Compare |
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASX ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | $99.5B | 50.3× | Compare |
| MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | $68.5B | 82.9× | Compare |
| UMC United Microelectronics Corporation | $63.9B | 23.6× | Compare |
| ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. | $61.2B | 164× | Compare |
QCOM metrics, ten years each
- Revenue
- Net income
- EPS (diluted)
- EBITDA
- Free cash flow
- Operating cash flow
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
- Free cash flow margin
- P/E ratio
- P/S ratio
- P/B ratio
- Price to free cash flow
- EV/EBITDA
- EV/Sales
- EV/FCF
- Return on equity
- Return on assets
- Return on invested capital
- Debt to equity
- Current ratio
- Total debt
- Shares outstanding
- Book value per share
- Revenue growth
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) key facts
- QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is a Semiconductors company in the Technology sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- QUALCOMM Incorporated’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $44.3 billion, up 13.7% from fiscal 2024.
- Net income was $5.5 billion, or $5.05 per share (basic), a net margin of 12.5%.
- As of October 2, 2026, QCOM traded at $184.87, a market capitalization of $193.6 billion.
- At that price the stock trades at 20.9× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 4.4× sales; its P/E is higher than 59% of its own readings over the past ten years.
- QUALCOMM Incorporated pays an annual dividend of $3.62 per share, a yield of 1.98%, with a payout ratio of 41.9%.
- Return on equity was 23.3% and debt-to-equity 0.55.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 6 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 6.45 (safe zone) for fiscal 2025.
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) Latest News
2 Oct
Amazon signs a multiyear custom silicon and optical-connectivity deal with Qualcomm; revenue starts in the December quarter, with warrants vesting on up to $60 billion of Amazon purchases over 10 years. Apple revenue is forecast to fall, with management guiding fiscal 2027 non-handset growth above 60% to replace Apple product revenues and a target of $5 billion in data-center revenue. Two near-term custom-silicon engagements have purchase orders. Margin risk remains: custom silicon is expected to drag QCT gross margin by 1.5-2 percentage points, and Q4 non-GAAP OPEX around $2.7 billion as modular and data-center spending runs ahead of revenue. Street consensus projects fiscal 2026 revenue around $42.9B, 2027 about $44.9B, 2028 roughly $51.9B, with normalized EPS of $10.20 in 2027 and $12.95 in 2028. The December quarter will test Amazon revenue and margin recovery; a miss would cloud 2028. Amazon deal and Apple-revenue shift imply a major pivot to data-center and custom silicon, with margin headwinds and a pivotal 2027 transition likely to redefine Qualcomm's trajectory.
Qualcomm (QCOM) rose 1.53% to 184.87, outperforming the S&P 500 (0.73%), Dow (0.49%), and Nasdaq (1.19%). Over the last month shares gained about 8.02%, outpacing the Computer & Technology sector and the S&P 500. Investors await the upcoming earnings report; the firm is seen with EPS of $2.19 for the quarter (down 27% year over year) and revenue of $10.16B (down ~9.8%). For the full year, Zacks Consensus pegs EPS at $10.55 and revenue at $42.89B, down 12.3% and 2.82%. Zacks ranks QCOM #4 Sell. Valuation shows forward P/E 18.17, well below industry average (39.71); PEG 2.93 vs 1.35. Estimate revisions have nudged EPS forecasts down slightly. Near-term EPS and revenue declines with a Sell rating imply limited upside and potential downside risk.
Qualcomm (QCOM) faces renewed near-term headwinds as consensus earnings estimates drop: current quarter expected EPS of $2.19, down 27% year over year, with the 12-month forward EPS at $10.55 (-12.3% YoY) and next year $10.02 (-5%). Revenue is also expected lower this quarter at $10.16B (-9.8% YoY), with full-year revenues at $42.89B (-2.8%) and next year $44.34B (+3.4%). Last quarter beat revenue estimates by 2.4% but missed EPS by 0.45%; earnings revisions over the last 30 days fell 1.4%. Zacks ranks QCOM #4 (Sell), suggesting near-term underperformance, despite an 8% one-month stock gain and the Electronics - Semiconductors sector up 9.3%. Negative earnings revisions and a Sell rating imply a moderate near-term downside risk for QCOM.
1 Oct
Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon, at the Snapdragon Summit, framed AI as the new user interface, with on-device models growing from 1 billion to 30 billion parameters and potentially hundreds of billions, enabling agentic AI to perform tasks across devices. AI will shift from vendor features to third-party apps; Qualcomm plans to migrate data-center AI tech into phones. He highlighted smart glasses as a key platform and 6G enabling constant high-speed video and data capture, potentially turning wearables into walking cameras. Trust and user control will be crucial. The company will maintain bespoke chips and product customization amid memory-cost pressures and a shrinking phone market, insisting Qualcomm must reinvent itself to stay ahead in a fast-moving AI era. Ambitious on-device AI, rapid model scaling, and glasses as a major platform could redefine Qualcomm's growth trajectory, though near-term headwinds from memory costs and a contracting smartphone market temper the upside.
Munro Concentrated Global Growth Fund's Q2 2026 letter highlights QUALCOMM's aim to capture AI supply-chain share across custom chips, AI accelerators, and CPUs, despite market skepticism about its current footprint. The fund posted a strong Q2 2026 gain (23.8% net vs. MSCI World ex-Australia 12.6%), underpinned by AI adoption, rising hyperscale data-center capex, and stronger monetization on major platforms, with easing oil and slower inflation supportive. Qualcomm's Datacenter Pivot is real, but investors doubt timing and magnitude of its AI-share gains. As of Sep 30, 2026, QCOM closed at $184.04; one-month return 9.18%; 52-week range $121.99-$259.92; market cap about $184B. Qualcomm isn't among the hedge-fund favorites; about 95 funds held QCOM in Q2, up from 71 previously, reflecting potential upside but not consensus. AI supply-chain pivot could meaningfully affect Qualcomm's trajectory if execution wins share, but market skepticism tempers near-term upside.
30 Sep
Qualcomm (QCOM) stock has jumped about 46% in six months but sits roughly 26% below its 1-year high, trading around 21x earnings. The piece argues there is a case for waiting due to margin erosion, with trailing operating margin down to 23.3% from 28% a year earlier, near the low end of a five-year range, while valuation sits mid-range at 4.4x sales. Management cites unprecedented memory costs and higher input costs and plans price increases to protect margins, though data-center revenue will drag gross margins by 1.5%-2%. For fiscal Q4 2026, chip pre-tax margin is guided to 23%-25% (vs. 26% in Q3). Apple smartphone revenue is shrinking; car-chip sales rose to $1.6B in Q3, but total revenue fell 4%. Q4 guidance is $9.7-$10.5B with ~ $10.3B consensus. Growth outside phones is expected to replace Apple revenue in fiscal 2027; results around Nov. 3, 2026 will reveal margin trajectory and buying significance. Margin erosion and reliance on non-phone growth could materially alter Qualcomm's profitability trajectory, affecting upside potential and investor sentiment.
Qualcomm renewed its global patent license with Apple, effective April 1, 2027, easing near-term royalty uncertainty under QTL. Simultaneously, it pushed AI/cloud strategy with a multi-year AWS custom-silicon partnership and hardware initiatives, including a Humanoids Summit appearance and data-center/robotics expansion. The Apple renewal funds the shift toward AI and data centers by anchoring steady licensing income while the AWS deal targets multi-year data-center revenue goals of about $5B in fiscal 2027 and $15B in fiscal 2029. The strategy hinges on translating AWS execution into broader High Bandwidth Compute adoption to offset smartphone cyclicality. Risks include rising in-house chip development by OEMs that could compress licensing royalties and the pace of AI/cloud revenue realization. Analysts see Qualcomm targeting roughly $60B revenue and $11.5B earnings by 2029, with valuations implying ~5% upside from current levels. Apple renewal reduces near-term royalty risk and AWS data-center collaboration creates a meaningful revenue trajectory into AI/cloud, signaling a significant strategic shift.
Qualcomm renewed its global patent license with Apple, effective April 1, 2027; terms were not disclosed. Apple is moving to in-house modems, with Apple’s chip revenue expected to fall materially in the near term, roughly 50% from the September quarter to December. Nevertheless, Apple will continue paying Qualcomm to license wireless technologies, preserving royalties for QTL. Last quarter, Qualcomm’s licensing unit earned $1.28B at a 69% EBT margin. Automotive revenue rose 61% to $1.59B, BMW naming Qualcomm lead compute silicon partner. Management expects non-handset growth to accelerate from the mid-20s in fiscal 2026 to above 60% in fiscal 2027, potentially replacing Apple product revenue within the year. In fiscal 2025, free cash flow reached $12.82B with $12.60B returned to shareholders; dividends rose to $0.92, and a $20B buyback was authorized. Cash-based FCF ~15.3x; Broadcom ~43x; net debt ~0.6x EBITDA. Apple royalties persist while non-handset and automotive growth accelerate, potentially reshaping Qualcomm’s revenue mix and valuation by 2027.
Qualcomm is pivoting from a smartphone-chip heavyweight to an AI data-center player. QCT revenue declined as handset sales fell about 20% year over year, though automotive and IoT grew; overall data-center ambitions target more than $15B revenue by 2029, with non-handset revenue expected to reach about $40B. A new tie-up with Amazon gives Qualcomm a foothold in hyperscale AI data centers, focusing on AI inference and high-speed data transport using SerDes and optical DSP tech, including initial 1.6T capabilities. The arrangement includes a right for Amazon to buy up to 25M Qualcomm shares at a fixed price, potentially totaling up to $60B in purchases under a warrant, though not a guaranteed payment. CFO Palkhiwala says Amazon ramp could begin in the December quarter, with another undisclosed hyperscaler also in play. Alphawave acquisition helps deployment across multiple generations. Amazon's data-center deal could dramatically raise QCOM's data-center revenue and shift its growth trajectory.
Chery Auto will host the 2026 International User Summit Oct 18–24 in Wuhu, showcasing its AI, intelligent-vehicle and new-energy stack from architecture to mass production and highlighting its green-factory push, including rooftop solar and a 52.77% renewable-energy share. In H1 2026, R&D spending rose 28.3% to RMB 6.672 billion, with a focus on electrification platforms, ADAS and intelligent cockpits. The event follows expanded collaboration with Qualcomm on cockpit-driving integration, which will be demonstrated at the Summit. The lineup includes Guinness-record JAECOO 7 SHS and SHS-P hybrids, the all-electric CHERY Q debut, and ongoing low-carbon initiatives such as recycled aluminum and zero-carbon factories across its global operations. Continuing collaboration with Qualcomm on cockpit-driving integration signals incremental revenue potential for Qualcomm but is unlikely to be a major driver.
Arm trades at about 118x forward earnings after a 160% year-to-date rally priced in data-center growth. AGI CPU orders exceed $2 billion, fueling bull cases near $418 while a bear case around $218.64 cites Arm's pending Q4 2026 trial against Qualcomm and export controls on about $200 million in China revenue as key risks. 24/7 Wall St. sets a price target of $273.77 with a HOLD rating and 90% confidence. Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue rose 22.4% to $1.29B; GAAP EPS was $0.25, non-GAAP EPS $0.45. For Q2, revenue guidance is about $1.38B with non-GAAP EPS around $0.47. Arm Neoverse shipments exceed 1.5 billion cores, giving Arm roughly half the CPU compute share among hyperscalers. Bulls see continued data-center growth and AGI momentum; bears flag Qualcomm litigation and China rules as potential pressure on royalties and margins. Qualcomm could be affected through royalty and licensing dynamics tied to Arm's legal dispute and export controls, a meaningful but not guaranteed risk.
Qualcomm renewed its global patent license with Apple, effective April 1, 2027, ensuring continued access to Qualcomm cellular technologies under a multi-year framework. The deal reinforces ongoing collaboration and provides visibility for QTL licensing revenue tied to Apple, reducing revenue uncertainty. It does not remove handset risk or the need to diversify into automotive, IoT, and AWS-backed data-center programs. Investors should weigh the renewal against other drivers and risks, as a major warning sign is noted. The true test will be QTL performance after 2027, including royalty rates and coverage for 5G and future standards. Apple licensing renewal improves revenue visibility for QTL but does not solve broader handset exposure or diversification challenges.
AMD guided third-quarter revenue to about $13 billion, up roughly 16% from the prior quarter’s guide and about 13% above reported Q2 revenue, with full-year gross margin guided near 56%. Growth is pegged to data center and embedded segments, while client and gaming face modest declines and the PC market is expected softer in H2 2026. Data center remains AMD’s largest business, boosted by EPYC server processors, and Helios AI platform shipments are slated to begin later in Q3. Management also projects data center revenue to more than double in 2027, with server-supply constraints noted. After the release, the stock retreated 7% the next day but then climbed about 26% from late August to September 29, trading above both its 50-day and 200-day averages. Valuation remains rich (around 154x trailing earnings vs. 21.9x for the S&P 500). The key test is Q3 results landing within the guided range. AI/data-center demand outlook and Helios momentum could influence semis peers like QCOM, but direct impact is limited.
Apple renewed its six-year Qualcomm licensing agreement, extending the patent and modem royalties through April 1, 2027. The renewal preserves Qualcomm’s licensing position as Apple shifts some modem development in-house after buying Intel’s modem business in 2019. The original 2019 six-year license now runs to 2027, with the extension maintaining the royalty stream. Qualcomm is pursuing data-center initiatives like Dragonfly and High Bandwidth Compute, aiming for about $15 billion in data-center revenue by 2029. In Q3 fiscal 2026, revenue fell 4% year over year to $9.9 billion, handset revenue down 20% to $5.1 billion, and licensing revenue down 3% to $1.3 billion. Non-GAAP EPS declined 20% to $2.21, missing estimates; Q4 guidance suggests further pressure. The stock carries a Hold consensus with a mean target near $198, implying roughly 8% upside. Extends a stable licensing stream through 2027 while Apple’s shift to in-house modem tech caps upside, yielding a moderate impact.
29 Sep
Qualcomm showcased phone-based AI agents at Snapdragon Summit, highlighting on-device AI acceleration via Snapdragon 8 Elite Extreme Gen 6 and Gen 6 chips that integrate processing, graphics, and sensing to run tasks across apps. The company cited 20+ partners using Adreno Neural Fusion, its AI rendering tech for mobile games. The goal is to give handset makers a stronger incentive to ship premium chips with faster, on-device AI. Shares rose about 0.3% to $188.04 around 11:23 a.m. ET after closing Monday at $187.48. At roughly $188, the stock sits about 7.3% above its GF Value estimate of $175.18, reflecting investor pricing of the AI promise. The next proof points are broad adoption in shipping phones and a lift in chip revenue, though partner support alone isn’t a guarantee. On-device AI strategy could meaningfully boost Qualcomm’s chip demand if adopted widely, but outcomes depend on phone manufacturers’ rollout and market uptake.
Qualcomm shares fell about 7% after a rally driven by Amazon’s data-center deal, an AI interconnect demo, the Snapdragon Summit, and Apple’s license renewal cooled. At $187.48 on Sept. 28, the stock lagged a broader tech pullback as consensus 2027 revenue sits about 3% above June levels. Analysts project fiscal 2027 revenue around $44.9B, rising to roughly $51.9B in 2028, with 2029 dipping slightly. The company reiterated a roughly $5B data-center target for 2027 and aims to maintain margins, though some products may be lower-margin. The Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 uses TSMC’s N2P, with Samsung 2nm sourcing talks stalled; Apple’s license renewal extends royalties though most iPhones will move away from Qualcomm modems. A mid-case valuation implies around $388 by 2030, about 107% total return, but risk remains from handset softness and yields. Key drivers—data-center demand, Apple royalty renewal, and Samsung/TSMC sourcing dynamics—could materially alter Qualcomm's revenue mix and margins.
NVDA trades at 28.6x trailing earnings, well below its 3-year average of 42.8, and sits near its 52-week high while momentum and margins face pressure from memory price increases. A Trefis scenario extends revenue growth at 30% annually for three years, lifting revenue from $303B to $665.6B and earnings from $192.9B to $399.5B, with P/E falling to 21.5 and an implied share price of $355.52 in three years. Most upside comes from data-center sales, driven by two customer groups: cloud providers at $49B and other DC customers at $40B, plus Vera Rubin capacity creating a $40B-per-GW revenue opportunity versus $18B earlier. Margin risk remains if margins revert toward the three-year average; supply bottlenecks through 2028 frame the outlook. The piece notes that upside relies on sustained data-center demand and favorable margins. Rising AI compute demand and data-center growth boost overall semiconductor demand and investor sentiment, which can indirectly affect Qualcomm.
28 Sep
Qualcomm shares fell about 5.8% as rally momentum faded, pressured by Samsung’s pricing standoff on 2nm foundry work and a broader tech selloff tied to rising yields. Talks over 2nm manufacturing remain stalled on pricing and yields and could push decisions into 2027, while reported Apple patent renewals and an AWS partnership weakening contributed to the pullback. Separately, a Form 4 shows CEO Cristiano Amon’s family trust sold 10,000 shares at $195 on Sept. 21 under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. Apple’s long-term license renewal, taking effect in 2027, provides visibility into Qualcomm’s high-margin licensing revenue. Qualcomm is up about 9.8% YTD but still 24.3% below its 52-week high of $251.02, with sentiment buffeted by yields, oil, and a sector-wide chip slide. Pricing/yield tensions and delayed 2nm talks into 2027, plus Apple licensing stability, could materially influence near- to mid-term cash flow and investor sentiment.
Qualcomm renewed its Global Patent License Agreement with Apple, removing a major overhang and triggering a rally that has lifted QCOM roughly 23% this month. 24/7 Wall St. sets a $228.68 price target, implying about 16% upside from around $194. In fiscal Q3, revenue was $9.95B, above estimates but down 4% year over year; non-GAAP EPS of $2.21 missed by a penny, as handset revenue fell about 20% YoY and Automotive and IoT grew. Bulls see non-handset revenue dominating QCT by 2027, with data-center revenue reaching $15B by 2029 on hyperscaler custom-silicon wins and a $7B automotive run rate. Bears warn margin pressure from memory costs and Apple revenue declines could push the stock toward the low $190s. A longer-term bull path could lift it into the mid- to high-$200s. Apple license renewal removes a key overhang and the data-center/non-handset growth thesis could meaningfully boost valuation and investor sentiment.
Intel pivots to foundry, aims to compete with top fabs; 10% U.S. equity stake scrutiny. FY2025 revenue about $52.9B, net loss around $267M; net margin about -0.5%. Debt-to-equity ~0.4x; current ratio ~2.0x; free cash flow negative ~$4.9B; stock-based comp inflates cash flow. Qualcomm dominates mobile modems/Snapdragon, selling to Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi; risk from customer concentration and China exposure. FY2025 revenue near $44.3B; net income about $5.5B; net margin ~12.5%. Debt-to-equity ~0.8x; current ratio ~2.8x; free cash flow ~ $12.8B. Valuation: Forward P/E 80.3x for Intel vs 19.2x for Qualcomm. Verdict: Intel looks more attractive for a 2026 turnaround; Qualcomm offers AI/auto growth but near-term handset demand headwinds persist; both face questions. Near-term handset softness and customer concentration create risks for Qualcomm, while AI and auto opportunities offer growth, yielding a moderately influential outlook.
NVIDIA trades around 28.1x earnings, near the low end of its 10-year P/E range, prompting questions whether the rally can continue if profits stay elevated. The stock’s margins are strong—about 65% (three-year average 59%)—but cash metrics look stretched, with operating cash flow multiples around 40.4x and inventory rising to $32B ahead of the Vera Rubin launch. Management guides fiscal Q3 2027 revenue at $108B ±2%, with consensus near $111.3B, suggesting the price may already embed more revenue than guided. Vera Rubin is expected to contribute roughly 20% of data-center revenue in Q3 2027, while supply bottlenecks are seen through the end of fiscal 2028. Gross margin for Q3 2027 is guided near 74%. Historical post-earnings moves have been mixed; a miss below $111.3B implies overpricing, while a beat with solid margins could validate current levels. Buying now would not be too late if these conditions hold. NVIDIA’s AI-demand dynamics can shape broader semiconductor sentiment that affects Qualcomm’s outlook, making the impact noticeable but not determinative.
Qualcomm (QCOM) agreed to acquire PickNik Robotics, a MoveIt open-source robotics software specialist, expanding beyond chips into a software layer for industrial automation. PickNik develops motion-planning and manipulation tools and sells MoveIt Pro; Qualcomm intends to integrate MoveIt with its Dragonwing robotics platforms, enabling hardware-software bundles for customers. The deal signals growth in physical AI as companies deploy robots in factories and warehouses. Qualcomm's quarterly results showed solid revenue beats but weaker free cash flow margin, while its industrial networking and robotics pipeline exceeded $7 billion with over $3.5 billion in new design wins this year. The acquisition is framed as a strategic addition rather than an immediate earnings driver, suggesting a gradual impact on design-wins, MoveIt Pro adoption, and long-term robotics revenue. Investors should view QCOM as a long-term diversification holding. Expands robotics software layer and potential Dragonwing synergies, with no immediate earnings impact.
27 Sep
Qualcomm (QCOM) shares have reversed earlier volatility and surged due to AI opportunities, an Amazon data-center deal, and easing US-China trade tensions, pushing the stock near multi-month highs ahead of Snapdragon Summit 2026. At the event, Qualcomm unveiled Snapdragon 8 Elite processors and highlighted AI-powered wearables and audio tech, while pursuing physical-AI via PickNik Robotics. The chipmaker's newer businesses beyond smartphones are bolstering sentiment, though the stock is still roughly 22% below its 52-week high. Technically, the chart shows momentum with the 14-day RSI around 67. Valuation sits around 25x forward earnings, with forward sales at 4.6x. The Q3 results showed revenue $9.95B (-4% YOY), non-GAAP EPS $2.21 (-20%), with autos revenue up 61% to a record $1.6B and handset revenue down 20% to $5.1B. For Q4, guidance is $9.7-10.5B revenue and $2.05-2.25 EPS. Analysts remain cautiously Hold. AI expansion, a data-center deal, and autos growth could meaningfully lift Qualcomm's long-term growth and investor sentiment.
24/7 Wall St. assigns a BUY rating and a $228.68 price target to Qualcomm (QCOM), implying about 16% upside from a roughly $194 share price. The bull case rests on non-handset revenue growing more than 60% in fiscal 2027 and a data-center push aiming for $15 billion in revenue by fiscal 2029, supported by hyperscaler custom silicon programs shipping in the December quarter and a first high-bandwidth compute solution in mid-2027. The market is still pricing Qualcomm like a handset company, leaving room for upside if the non-handset/AI infrastructure ramp accelerates and margins stabilize. Risks include Apple’s modem share decline—potentially halving Apple-related revenue—along with input-cost inflation and margin pressure from early data-center ramps. Valuation is said to look conservative versus Broadcom and Marvell if Qualcomm achieves hyperscaler scale, justifying upside despite execution risk. Non-handset and data-center growth could significantly uplift revenue and valuation.
Qualcomm unveiled two premium smartphone chipsets—Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 and Snapdragon 8 Elite Extreme Gen 6—designed for on-device AI workloads in flagship Android devices. The platforms target enhanced AI, gaming, camera, and connectivity, aiming to strengthen Qualcomm’s position in premium handsets and defend its share as on-device AI becomes a key feature. The shift could lift silicon content and device value if Qualcomm becomes the computing platform for on-device AI. However, risks include intensifying competition from MediaTek (2nm flagship platform) and rising in-house silicon efforts by Apple and Samsung, plus a contracting broader smartphone semiconductor market, longer upgrade cycles, and higher component costs. Hedge-fund activity around QCOM has risen, with larger positions and short interest edging up. Overall, the article calls the new chipsets a meaningful strategic pivot with upside potential but notable competitive and demand risks. New premium AI-enabled chipsets could materially shift Qualcomm's premium handset strategy but face strong competition and a cyclical smartphone market.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. plans to accelerate its 2-nanometer capacity expansion as AI and high-performance computing demand boosts orders. EDN, citing industry sources, said TSMC could reach about 120,000 2nm wafers per year by end-2026, up from earlier estimates of 90,000–100,000. Five 2nm fabs will be brought online this year—two in Hsinchu and three in Kaohsiung. Senior VP Hou Yung-ching said 2nm output in its first year would be about 45% higher than 3nm’s first-year output in 2023, with 2nm capacity growing at roughly a 70% CAGR from 2026 to 2028. Customers including Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm and MediaTek have recently raised orders for the 2nm family by 10–20%. The expansion signals strong AI/HPC demand and enhances TSMC’s ability to supply future-generation chips. Higher TSMC 2nm capacity with Qualcomm among customers hints at improved supply for future Qualcomm chips, a modest positive.
26 Sep
Apple shares rose about 0.6% to around $341, up ~34% in the last year, supported by strong iPhone and Mac demand. A key update: Apple and Qualcomm renewed their global patent license through April 1, 2027, preserving access to essential cellular tech as Apple pursues in-house modem development. Apple introduced M6-based Mac mini and upgraded Mac Studio with up to 512GB RAM, underscoring AI ambitions and potential cost savings on cloud usage. iPhone revenue up 22% to $54.3B; Mac up 29%. Management guided 9%-11% revenue growth with a 47%-48% gross margin, aided by tariff refunds but offset by currency headwinds. A valuation model based on 11.1% revenue growth and 30.5x exit P/E yields a $374 target, about 9.6% upside over 2 years, though the stock trades at a rich multiple. Extended Apple-Qualcomm license preserves near-term royalties and reduces license risk, modestly supporting Qualcomm's outlook.
25 Sep
Qualcomm shares rose about 5.7% after rebounding on news of a renewed global patent license with Apple. The agreement, effective April 1, 2027, allows Apple to keep using Qualcomm’s wireless technologies in exchange for ongoing royalties. Securing a long-term extension reduces a major source of uncertainty given Apple’s outsized role in the smartphone market and provides visibility into Qualcomm’s high-margin licensing revenue. Investors have bid the stock up over the past two sessions, treating the renewal as de-risking and ensuring a reliable cash flow stream even if hardware upgrade cycles slow. Year-to-date, Qualcomm is up around 18.7% but remains below its 52-week high of $251.02 from May 2026. Extension locks in Apple-based royalties through 2027, stabilizing Qualcomm’s core licensing revenue and cash flow.
Qualcomm renewed its global patent license with Apple, effective April 1, 2027, preserving Apple royalties as a major revenue stream even as Apple develops its own modems. Apple’s shift does not end the relationship, and Qualcomm warned new terms and end dates were not disclosed. The move followed reports that licensing accounted for about 15% of Qualcomm’s June-quarter revenue, with Apple-related chip sales expected to decline in 2027. The company also highlighted expansion beyond phones, noting more than 13,000 businesses have deployed or tested Snapdragon-powered PCs. Shares rose about 2.4% to $198.95 after the news, while the stock trades above GuruFocus’ GF Value. GuruFocus flagged two warning signs, but the renewal aims to provide revenue durability as Qualcomm pursues growth opportunities beyond mobile devices. Preserves Apple royalties and expands Snapdragon reach, supporting durable revenue and growth potential.
Qualcomm renewed its global patent license with Apple, effective April 1, 2027, with no disclosed financial terms or contract length. The deal preserves Qualcomm’s lucrative licensing revenue as Apple moves toward self-supplied modems and reduces chip purchases, though chip revenue decline will be gradual. Past tensions and a long-running dispute between the two are tempered by the renewal, which adds certainty but leaves valuation uncertain because rate and duration are unknown. Qualcomm has diversified beyond handsets into cars, PCs, and industrial chips, yet Apple remains the linchpin of its licensing business. The market reacted with a short-lived stock dip followed by a partial rebound; the key future signal will be licensing revenue once the new terms take effect. Maintains Qualcomm's core licensing cash flow from Apple while Apple shifts away from relying on Qualcomm chips, but lack of disclosed terms and duration leaves the scale of impact uncertain.