NVIDIA Corporation NVDA
- Market cap
- $5.61T
- P/E
- 29.0×
Follow NVDA
Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free account| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | 3.11 | 3.19 | 4.52 | 11.57 | 10.81 | 14.03 | 47.32 | 86.62 | 164.27 |
Analyst estimates 2027–2029 Powerpack |
Low Price
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| 5.47 | 7.32 | 6.05 | 14.73 | 34.65 | 30.71 | 50.55 | 152.89 | 212.19 | 236.54 |
High Price
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| 10,299 | 8,191 | 13,277 | 13,775 | 18,975 | 22,473 | 26,196 | 29,600 | 36,000 | 42,000 |
Employees
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| 0.67 | 1.19 | 0.88 | 0.79 | 0.88 | 1.20 | 1.03 | 2.06 | 3.62 | 5.14 |
Revenue/Emp
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| 6,910 | 9,714 | 11,716 | 10,918 | 16,675 | 26,914 | 26,974 | 60,922 | 130,497 | 215,938 |
Revenue
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| 58.80% | 59.93% | 61.21% | 61.99% | 62.34% | 64.93% | 56.93% | 72.72% | 74.99% | 71.07% |
Gross Margin
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| 1,905 | 3,196 | 3,896 | 2,970 | 4,409 | 9,941 | 4,181 | 33,818 | 84,026 | 141,450 |
EBT
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| 27.57% | 32.90% | 33.25% | 27.20% | 26.44% | 36.94% | 15.50% | 55.51% | 64.39% | 65.50% |
EBT Margin
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| 1,666 | 3,047 | 4,141 | 2,796 | 4,332 | 9,752 | 4,368 | 29,760 | 72,880 | 120,067 |
Net Income
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| 187 | 199 | 262 | 381 | 1,098 | 1,174 | 1,544 | 1,508 | 1,864 | 2,843 |
Depreciation
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| 0.32 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.68 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 2.47 | 5.31 | 8.86 |
Revenue/Sh
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| 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.39 | 0.18 | 1.21 | 2.97 | 4.93 |
Earnings/Sh
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| 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.23 | 1.14 | 2.61 | 4.22 |
Cash Flow/Sh
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| (0.01) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.05) | (0.04) | (0.07) | (0.04) | (0.13) | (0.25) |
Capex/Sh
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| 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.15 | 1.09 | 2.48 | 3.97 |
Free CF/Sh
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| 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.68 | 1.07 | 0.89 | 1.74 | 3.23 | 6.46 |
Book Value/Sh
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| 21,640 | 23,960 | 24,320 | 24,390 | 24,670 | 24,960 | 24,870 | 24,690 | 24,555 | 24,359 |
Shares
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| 36.11 | 48.50 | 21.07 | 51.53 | 75.48 | 62.63 | 111.66 | 51.02 | 40.37 | 37.65 |
PE Ratio
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| 8.55 | 15.17 | 7.45 | 13.20 | 19.59 | 22.71 | 18.02 | 24.94 | 22.59 | 20.94 |
PS Ratio
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| 10.25 | 19.72 | 9.35 | 11.81 | 19.34 | 22.97 | 21.99 | 35.35 | 37.17 | 28.74 |
PB Ratio
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| 7.97 | 14.64 | 6.99 | 12.40 | 19.32 | 22.34 | 17.94 | 24.67 | 22.34 | 20.69 |
EV/Sales
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| 36.65 | 48.87 | 26.05 | 31.68 | 68.63 | 73.92 | 127.05 | 55.63 | 47.90 | 46.21 |
EV/FCF
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| 1,672 | 3,502 | 3,743 | 4,761 | 5,822 | 9,108 | 5,641 | 28,090 | 64,089 | 102,718 |
Op' Cash Flow
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| (169) | (591) | (600) | (489) | (1,128) | (976) | (1,833) | (1,069) | (3,236) | (6,042) |
Capex
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| 1,503 | 2,911 | 3,143 | 4,272 | 4,694 | 8,132 | 3,808 | 27,021 | 60,853 | 96,676 |
FCF
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| 6,748 | 8,102 | 9,228 | 11,906 | 12,130 | 24,494 | 16,510 | 33,714 | 62,079 | 93,442 |
Working Cap'
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| 2,810 | 2,000 | 1,988 | 2,082 | 7,084 | 10,946 | 11,129 | 8,459 | 8,463 | 7,469 |
Total Debt
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| (3,988) | (5,108) | (5,434) | (8,815) | (4,477) | (10,262) | (2,167) | (17,525) | (34,747) | (55,087) |
Net Debt
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| 5,762 | 7,471 | 9,342 | 12,204 | 16,893 | 26,612 | 22,101 | 42,978 | 79,327 | 157,293 |
Sh' Equity
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| 19.36% | 28.91% | 33.76% | 18.27% | 18.79% | 26.73% | 10.23% | 55.67% | 82.20% | 75.42% |
ROA
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| 68.14% | 84.90% | 60.84% | 52.49% | 22.81% | 38.38% | 13.24% | 80.96% | 114.19% | 79.73% |
ROIC
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| 32.57% | 46.05% | 49.26% | 25.95% | 29.78% | 44.83% | 17.93% | 91.46% | 119.18% | 101.49% |
ROE
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NVIDIA Corporation peers in Semiconductors
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. | $2.40T | 33.1× | Compare |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | $1.66T | 42.6× | Compare |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | $1.25T | 24.4× | Compare |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | $1.02T | 156× | Compare |
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| INTC Intel Corporation | $646.1B | 0.0× | Compare |
| ARM ARM Holdings PLC Sponsored ADR | $318.1B | 301× | Compare |
| TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated | $260.2B | 42.5× | Compare |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | $238.5B | 87.2× | Compare |
NVDA metrics, ten years each
- Revenue
- Net income
- EPS (diluted)
- EBITDA
- Free cash flow
- Operating cash flow
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
- Free cash flow margin
- P/E ratio
- P/S ratio
- P/B ratio
- Price to free cash flow
- EV/EBITDA
- EV/Sales
- EV/FCF
- Return on equity
- Return on assets
- Return on invested capital
- Debt to equity
- Current ratio
- Total debt
- Shares outstanding
- Book value per share
- Revenue growth
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) key facts
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a Semiconductors company in the Technology sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- NVIDIA Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended January 2026) was $215.9 billion, up 65.5% from fiscal 2025.
- Net income was $120.1 billion, or $4.93 per share (basic), a net margin of 55.6%.
- As of October 1, 2026, NVDA traded at $230.86, a market capitalization of $5.61 trillion.
- At that price the stock trades at 29.0× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 18.4× sales; its P/E is higher than 9% of its own readings over the past ten years.
- NVIDIA Corporation pays an annual dividend of $0.52 per share, a yield of 0.23%, with a payout ratio of 6.57%.
- Return on equity was 101.5% and debt-to-equity 0.14.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 4 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 61.08 (safe zone) for fiscal 2026.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Latest News
2 Oct
NVIDIA stock retook its May intraday high after posting a stronger quarterly report. In fiscal Q2 2027 (quarter ending July 26, 2026), revenue rose to $96.2 billion, up 41% from the prior record quarter. Revenue climbed sequentially in every quarter, with data-center sales driving the surge: data-center revenue reached $89.0 billion in Q2, accounting for about 90% of total revenue. Non-GAAP earnings rose about 40% to $2.22 per share in Q2, and management guided revenue of $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, for Q3. The stock trades around $235, near the May record close of $235.74, leaving the company valued at roughly $5.7 trillion. While the price-to-adjusted-earnings ratio has fallen to about 34, earnings gains include ~$15.9 billion of pre-tax gains from stakes in other companies, which can swing. Growth shows acceleration but could slow if AI data-center spending cools. Data-center-driven growth with higher Q3 guidance signals substantial, lasting upside despite stake-based earnings swings.
Jim Cramer, on Mad Money, backs owning NVDA over trading and hails a $150 billion buyback as the biggest ever. He links NVIDIA’s architecture framework to controlling autonomous agents and notes collaboration with Anthropic and OpenAI. The piece highlights data-center-led growth, with quarterly revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% YoY, and data-center revenue around $89 billion, supported by ~75% gross margins. NVIDIA’s strong cash flow funds the buyback and investments without straining the balance sheet. Bear risks include customer concentration among a few hyperscalers, rising memory costs, higher R&D, potential export restrictions, and valuation sensitivity if enterprise AI demand normalizes. The article cites 285 hedge funds owning NVDA, 1.27% short interest, and a forward multiple near 16.5x, suggesting a rational entry point within booming AI infrastructure. It also teases other AI stocks with greater upside. Massive buyback and data-center growth plus AI ecosystem partnerships could meaningfully lift sentiment and valuation.
SpaceX shares (SPCX) jumped more than 7% Friday after three launches and AI-contract news. Alphabet will buy about $920 million a month in AI computing services for 32 months starting this month, roughly $29 billion through June 2029. An Anthropic deal adds about $1.25 billion a month through May 2029, ramping to full rate since July. SpaceX, which also acquired xAI, is increasingly seen as an AI infrastructure provider for hyperscalers, as well as a launch and satellite-broadband operator. Elon Musk suggested a SpaceX version of Nvidia's VR72 AI supercomputer could run around 250 kW on average—a potential big deal if realized. The three launches on Thursday and Friday included NASA Crew-13, Transporter-18 rideshare, and NROL-97, following Starship Flight 14 earlier in the week. Massive, multi-year AI compute contracts with Alphabet and Anthropic boost demand for Nvidia GPUs from hyperscalers and AI infrastructure providers.
NVDA is pursuing AI-infrastructure funding by mobilizing more than $500 billion in third‑party capital through six asset managers—Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR. The plan uses Nvidia GPUs as collateral in lease-style financings: a financing platform buys chips, leases compute to customers, and collects payments tied to compute revenue, with Nvidia backing part of the residual value. Lenders earn long-dated returns while Nvidia books a sale if revenue persists; Huang says Nvidia may back as much as 25% of an opportunity. The goal is to fill a projected AI-capital gap. Some lenders demand stronger guarantees; critics warn of depreciation risk as GPUs age—six years per hyperscalers, or even shorter per skeptics. Introduces a large-scale, collateral-based financing model that could reshape how AI compute is funded and affect Nvidia's risk profile.
Stephanie Link says Nvidia is a best in breed stock on sale as shares trade around 17x forward earnings, the lowest in about a decade. Nvidia dominates roughly 97% of the server GPU market and posted 106% year-over-year revenue growth; management sees about 70% top-line growth in fiscal 2028 with gross margins near 72%. The company expanded its share buyback by $150 billion to $235 billion through fiscal 2028, about 4% of market value. Valuation sits well below five- and ten-year averages (roughly 17–19x forward vs around 35x historically). Link projects about $22 per share in fiscal 2028, implying roughly 10.7x those earnings at current prices. Ongoing AI infrastructure demand and favorable balance sheet support continued buybacks and earnings growth, even as the stock underperforms broader semis this year. Significant buyback expansion and strong earnings growth potential could materially alter Nvidia's earnings trajectory and valuation.
Nvidia stock closed at an all-time high, lifting its market value to about $5.7 trillion and nearing $6 trillion. The gain, up 2.9% on Friday, follows a roughly 27% rise in 2026 after a July dip erased over $1 trillion in value. Nvidia announced a $150 billion buyback increase—the largest in its history—and unveiled a double-layer AI security system designed to keep AI agents within parameters; Nvidia says it would have blocked a Hugging Face/OpenAI breach. Enthusiasm about AI agents and industry demand—supported by Meta’s Muse—has aided the rally. In fiscal Q1 2027, Nvidia posted record revenue of $81.6 billion (up 85% YoY), with data center revenue at $75.2 billion (up 92%). The company authorized $80 billion more buybacks and raised the quarterly dividend to $0.25, guiding about $91 billion in Q2 revenue. Massive buyback expansion and a new AI security initiative, plus record revenue and strong guidance, signal a substantial strategic push with meaningful upside potential.
Nvidia stock hit an intraday record of $237.88, lifting market value to about $5.7 trillion—the largest ever. Revenues for the quarter reached $96.2 billion, with data centers contributing $89 billion. The company expanded its buyback by $150 billion, bringing total authorization to $235 billion through fiscal 2028. Nvidia dominates AI compute power, with customers like Amazon planning to deploy hundreds of thousands of GPUs and partners such as Supermicro rolling out racks on its Vera Rubin platform (72 GPUs per rack). It disclosed $366 billion in multiyear AI infrastructure commitments, including $279 billion for memory. Management forecast about $108 billion in revenue for the current quarter. Although September employment data were weak, the stronger financing position and demand for AI compute are seen as supporting Nvidia’s growth, while debt conditions favor incumbents less reliant on external funding. Record valuation, expanded buyback, and expanding AI infrastructure commitments reinforce Nvidia's dominant position and upside potential.
Two chip stocks poised to ride an AI infrastructure supercycle are AMD and Broadcom, with a $1,000 investment suggested to start positions. AMD targets inference, agentic AI, and physical AI through memory investments, chiplet GPU designs, a Cerebras partnership, and acquisitions (Taalas, MEXT); it cites large inference deals with OpenAI and Meta, leadership in data-center CPUs, and a World Labs collaboration to push open AI ecosystems for robotics. Broadcom leads ASIC tech and data-center networking, aiding Alphabet’s TPUs and OpenAI, with guidance that custom-chip revenues could double to $115B next year and to $230B the year after. Nvidia is referenced as the major competitor, framing the AI build-out as a growth opportunity for AMD and Broadcom. The piece also includes Fool Stock Advisor promotions and standard disclosures about positions in various tech names. Highlights potential competitive pressure on Nvidia as AMD and Broadcom capture more AI-infrastructure workloads and related revenues.
NVDA trades near $231 as management forecasts roughly 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028, constrained mainly by supply. Vera Rubin raises revenue opportunity to $40B per gigawatt; AWS adds 2 million GPUs, and CPU revenue is set to double. Analysts’ average target is about $328 (roughly 42% upside); a bear case of $235 still sits above current levels. The stock trades around 15x forward earnings, with a two-year view hinging on earnings growth, supply relief, and margin discipline. Risks include AI-lab financing, margin dips, and hyperscaler capex shifts. Buybacks remain sizable with substantial repurchase authorization. Forecasted growth and buybacks imply meaningful upside, but persistent supply and margin risks could temper the trajectory.
Jim Cramer argued NVIDIA can't manufacture chips fast enough to meet demand, highlighting a rare shortage as a driver of pricing power. Dell's Vera Rubin NVL72 rack-scale systems are already shipping in volume, signaling the next product cycle is turning into actual revenue. Wall Street consensus projects revenue nearly doubling to about $412 billion this fiscal year, with rapid growth continuing to about $683 billion next year and $900 billion the year after. NVDA trades around 19.2x forward earnings, well below its five-year average of 36.6x and near a five-year low of 17.5x. Cramer suggests a multiple reset toward the historical average could lift the stock roughly 45% on next 12 months earnings, assuming estimates hold amid potential demand fluctuations and macro risk. Projected valuation expansion toward the five-year average could meaningfully boost NVDA's equity value if earnings growth persists.
Morgan Stanley says Nvidia is well positioned as the AI bottleneck shifts away from semiconductors, implying ongoing demand for Nvidia's GPUs and a continued role in AI compute that could support its growth outlook. Upside potential arises from AI demand dynamics shifting in Nvidia's favor.
Nvidia shares rose more than 2.5% to an intraday record, topping the previous high as AI demand and a fresh buyback signal bolster sentiment. The stock was last up about 2.9% at $237.75, extending a rally that has lifted it about 27% this year. Nvidia's board authorized an additional $150 billion for share repurchases, bringing total remaining authorization to $235 billion through fiscal 2028—the largest in corporate history and a strong sign of cash generation capacity while continuing heavy AI infrastructure investment. Morgan Stanley reiterated Nvidia as its top semiconductor pick after meetings with CEO Jensen Huang, citing robust AI demand and an expanding customer base with a relatively undemanding valuation. The IPO prospects for Anthropic and concerns about data-center bottlenecks reinforce the bullish backdrop. Record buyback authorization signals strong cash generation and supports valuation amid AI-driven demand.
Nvidia stock surged to a new intraday high of $237.55, topping the prior high of $235.54 as investors priced in ongoing AI infrastructure demand. The company’s intraday market capitalization reached about $5.7 trillion. Nvidia, a leading GPU supplier for AI workloads, posted strong August Q2 results, with revenue of $96.2 billion and a guided Q3 range of $105.8–$110.1 billion. CEO Jensen Huang remains a central figure in AI and tech diplomacy. The AI rally faces questions about a potential bubble and 'circular investing' with customers re-buying Nvidia chips, amid competition from AMD and cloud players like Amazon and Google who are expanding their own chips. Record high and robust Q2 results with raised guidance reinforce Nvidia's AI hardware leadership and could meaningfully uplift revenue trajectory and investor sentiment.
NVDA shares rose about 1.5% after Morgan Stanley upgraded it to its top semiconductor pick, kept an Overweight rating and a $300 target. The analyst sees data-center constraints shaping AI-infrastructure spending, and notes that limited access to electricity, land, and financing could yield more computing per watt for Nvidia. Nvidia's mix includes substantial business from enterprise customers, system manufacturers, and sovereign buyers beyond the largest cloud providers, supporting demand as AI investment broadens. The firm also highlights AI agents and Nvidia's Vera Rubin platform as potential new demand sources. Upgrade to top semiconductor pick and a favorable AI-infra demand thesis imply meaningful near-term upside in sentiment and demand for Nvidia.
Tesla arranged three credit facilities totaling $30 billion from Citibank and Wells Fargo: a $20 billion senior unsecured three-year delayed-draw loan (with limited draw windows and a reduction to $10 million after one year and $5 million after 15 months), an $8 billion senior unsecured five-year revolving facility, and a $2 billion senior unsecured 364-day revolving facility. Management indicated no intent to draw in 2026 for the larger loan, but the structure implies a potential large outlay in 2027. The revolving facilities serve as liquidity insurance rather than earmarked expenditures. Tesla, now free-cash-flow-negative, has ample cash but faces higher capital spending expectations for AI compute, Terafab, and Optimus, while robotaxi/Cybercab revenue timelines have been pushed back. The market takeaway: the credit lines de-risk near-term capex but raise questions about financing needs if delays in the robotaxi rollout persist; investors should await next earnings call for commentary. Tesla's potential AI compute spending could boost Nvidia's data-center GPU demand, but impact depends on Tesla's execution and timing.
Nscale, a London-based AI data-center company backed by Nvidia and Microsoft, named Justin Osofsky, a long-time Meta executive and former chief partnerships officer, as chief operating officer to accelerate expansion ahead of its New York IPO. He will report to CEO Josh Payne and supervise global operations. Spun off from a cryptocurrency-mining venture in early 2024, Nscale has positioned itself as a prominent neo-cloud operator, renting computing resources to firms developing AI. The company filed for an IPO in September, seeking as much as $3 billion to fund equipment for AI workloads. Meta veterans—including former global affairs head Nick Clegg and Fidji Simo—are among its leadership and board rosters, with Sheryl Sandberg on the board providing support. Meta did not immediately comment. Rivals expanding AI infra capacity could pressure Nvidia's data-center demand and market sentiment, though direct impact on NVDA is not immediate.
Reddit user u/soukstah argues consumer and enterprise AI spending must reach roughly $2 trillion, far above current AI cloud revenue run rate of about $70 billion, and claims hyperscalers like NVDA, Alphabet (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) won’t meet historical 30% ROIC without trillions in AI investment. The poster, citing FT figures, says software and research spending would need to grow; as a result he sold his remaining shares in NVDA, GOOGL and MSFT. Bain & Company's latest tech report counters that sustaining AI buildout would require about $6 trillion annually by 2031, leaving $4.2 trillion in new revenue still to be found. Market reaction shows NVDA up ~25% YTD to $231.82 on Oct 1, 2026; GOOGL +8%, MSFT +7%; QQQ +21%. The piece notes the argument hinges on timing and evidence: whether AI applications materialize enough to close the gap remains uncertain, while the debate continues. Raises questions about AI TAM and timing, potentially shaping sentiment but not altering near-term fundamentals.
Josh Brown of Ritholtz Wealth Management predicts NVIDIA could generate about $360 billion in free cash flow next year on roughly $680 billion in revenue, about 3.7x today’s FCF of $96.7B. He says 53% of revenue would become free cash flow, a sharp rise from last year’s 45%. Wall Street consensus aligns with a similar revenue outlook of about $683B by fiscal 2028. The bull case relies on sustained data-center demand, Capex-driven GPU sales, and Nvidia’s continued leadership amid competitive pressure. The stock trades around 19x forward earnings, well below its decade-long average of ~37x. Key risk is pull-forward: customers may front-load spending, pushing some future sales into this year. Fiscal 2028 starts Feb 2027, so timing will matter as spending patterns emerge. Bold forecast of a massive FCF expansion hinges on sustained demand and execution, making sentiment-sensitive yet highly uncertain.
NVDA trades around $231.49, up 1,073% since Oct 2021 and 30.5% over the last six months on strong quarterly results. Nvidia, a fabless chip designer for gaming, data centers, automotive and other markets, is highlighted for three positives: 69.1% annualized revenue growth over five years; 82.6% CAGR in trailing EPS; and a free cash flow margin averaging 42.5% over the past two years. Strong profitability supports reinvestment, capital returns and potential market consolidation during downturns. The piece notes the stock trades at about 18.9x forward earnings and asks whether now is a good time to buy, offering a free full research report. It portrays Nvidia as a high-quality semiconductor name with momentum that could sustain investor interest. Sustained growth and cash flow support a positive view, but without new catalysts upside remains moderately limited.
Tesla (TSLA) delivered over 486,000 EVs in Q3, down from about 497,000 a year earlier, but above expectations for roughly 462,000. The beat helped the stock rise about 5.2% by midday. Expiration of government EV tax breaks after Sept. 30, 2025, boosted near-term demand ahead of the deadline, contributing to the quarterly figure. Looking ahead, Tesla's AI ambitions—especially full self-driving software and robotics—are viewed as key long-term drivers beyond deliveries. Nvidia is cited in a broader AI narrative, illustrating Act 1 vs Act 2 of AI rollout, though the piece treats it as context rather than a Tesla-specific catalyst. The Motley Fool’s promotional angles and performance comparisons appear, but do not alter the core delivery news. NVIDIA is cited as part of a broader AI narrative, but no NVDA-specific catalysts or data are presented.
A $10,000 AMD investment could be worth $13,841 under a bull scenario or $6,943 under a bear by 2031, with a base around $10,537. On a five-year horizon to Sept. 29, 2031, targets are $848.88 (bull), $646.28 (base), and $425.82 (bear). A Dec 29, 2030 snapshot shows $646.66 (base), $793.99 (bull), and $436.09 (bear). AMD’s latest quarter saw revenue up 50.1% to $11.54B, with data center revenue up 107% to $6.72B (58% of sales). Helios deployments with Meta and Microsoft (Azure), plus OpenAI and Meta deals, are cited as growth drivers; AMD targets a $1.4T data-center AI accelerator market by 2030 and aims to exceed $20 EPS long term. Risks include export controls on MI308 to China and competition from Nvidia, Intel, and hyperscalers, with gaming revenue down 31% in the latest quarter and notable beta/volatility. AMD's projected data-center momentum and AI partnerships could moderately influence Nvidia's position and investor sentiment.
Intel expects capital spending above $20 billion in 2026 for new chip plants and tooling. Last-twelve-month cash flow was $14.9 billion, but the plan exceeds that, implying payback over time. Demand for server CPUs is outpacing supply, and the 2026 budget was raised, with 2027 spending likely higher. Liquidity (cash plus revolver) runs about $40 billion; management said capital markets could be tapped if the business proves very successful. Q2 2026 cash flow was $7 billion as revenue rose 25% year over year. Intel posted a net loss of $11.3 billion in the past year. Foundry revenue from external customers was just $293 million of $5.8 billion in the quarter. Investors should monitor cash flow against the rising budget; the story remains cautious. Increased Intel capex and potential expansion in foundry services could intensify competition for AI server compute, affecting Nvidia's growth prospects.
Amazon will raise prices on most Nvidia GPU capacity by 15% or more starting October 7, the third increase in 2026. The hike covers seven Nvidia instance types in US regions; Tokyo H100 capacity climbs 26.5% to $5.97 per accelerator-hour. GB200 UltraServer, Trainium on-demand, and Savings Plans prices stay unchanged for existing bookings. Amazon is moving to a single rate across regions, which may push prices higher overseas. The changes come as AWS’s operating margins face pressure; Bloomberg and FT report Amazon is exploring moving about $8 billion of Nvidia chips off its balance sheet via a third-party vehicle, while retaining access. AWS CFO Brian Olsavsky said contracts lock in prices over their terms and new deals will reflect current costs. Depreciation is rising for Amazon; investors eye Nvidia demand linked to AWS pricing. Amazon’s stock is cited as context for valuation models. Pricing shifts on Nvidia GPUs through AWS could influence GPU demand and Nvidia's AWS-related revenue, creating a moderately noticeable risk to NVDA's trajectory.
Marvell Technology is highlighted as a leading AI infrastructure stock outside Nvidia. 24/7 Wall St. assigns a BUY with a $285.34 target (about 8% above the current $263.27), supported by fiscal 2027 revenue near $12B and data-center revenue growth over 60% in fiscal 2028. The stock has surged 206% YTD; Q2 revenue rose 36.6% to $2.739B with non-GAAP EPS of $0.94, and data-center sales accounted for 79% of revenue. Alphabet/Google expanded its custom-silicon deal with Marvell, including a warrant to buy up to 7% of shares if revenue targets are met. Valuation sits at ~62x forward earnings vs Broadcom at 19x; Nvidia remains the AI compute benchmark. Analysts show a bullish consensus (about 39 Buy/Strong Buy, zero Sells). Risks include customer concentration, China trade limits, and debt near $5B. Rising competition and expanding AI hardware demand beyond Nvidia could shift sentiment and relative positioning for Nvidia, though not altering its core fundamentals.
Einride will build its autonomous driving system on Nvidia's Hyperion platform, enabling Level 4-capable heavy-truck automation and expanding compute, sensors, software, and safety architecture. Einride will design, build, and operate the system end-to-end but will rely on Nvidia hardware and AI tools (Halos safety system, Blackwell architecture, Exemplar Cloud, Cosmos). The deal follows Einride's push to scale, planning to grow its fleet from 250 to 750 trucks by 2027 under a Tesla partnership, with cash-flow neutrality targeted at 1,500–2,000 trucks by 2028. CEO Roozbeh Charli cited up to $800 million in potential annual recurring revenue from joint customer plans, with ~80% of demand automatable in the medium term. Initial interface testing with DAF is slated for 2026, followed by validation in 2027. Expands Nvidia's AV compute footprint with a major freight deployment, providing moderate revenue upside but not a game-changer for the company's overall trajectory.
Amazon plans to move about $8 billion of AI chips off its balance sheet by forming a special-purpose vehicle that would lease the hardware back to other firms. The arrangement aims to monetize chips while keeping them in use, a sale-and-leaseback-style structure that could influence how cloud customers source AI compute. The Financial Times reported the plan, and the 8:30 hosts criticized the model for opacity around costs, ownership, and incentives in AI infrastructure. Could affect Nvidia's enterprise GPU demand and pricing dynamics by reshaping cloud AI infrastructure financing.
Amazon is seeking to offload about $8 billion of Nvidia AI chips to external investors while leasing them back, per Financial Times sources. The plan aims to strengthen Amazon’s balance sheet by shifting expensive chip costs to investors and adopting a more asset-light model. It would spin off thousands of Nvidia Grace Blackwell chips into a special-purpose vehicle that would hold AI data-center chips nationwide, then lease them back and raise funding via debt. Amazon would offer up to 10% equity in the SPV, with no stake retained by Amazon. The move could reshape demand dynamics for Nvidia hardware among cloud providers. Potential shift in cloud-provider financing of Nvidia-powered hardware could affect Nvidia's data-center demand while not changing its product roadmap.
Marvell Technology posted strong fiscal Q2 2027 results: revenue up 37% year over year, and management lifted guidance for fiscal 2027 and 2028. Data-center customers accounted for 79% of revenue, with data-center sales up 46% YoY. For the full year, Marvell projects data-center growth near 60%, and expects about $18 billion in revenue in fiscal 2028 (vs. $8.2B in 2026). The company is prepaying about $1 billion in capacity this year to secure materials. The stock trades around 25.5x trailing sales, high by a decade of history, implying investors are pricing strong growth. An expanded agreement with a key customer signals ongoing demand for custom chips. A potential risk is a pause in AI spending by large data-center customers, which could derail growth, though management maintains a positive outlook and plans an Investor Day on Oct 6. A pause in AI capex by large data-center customers could impact NVDA's GPU demand, posing a moderate risk to its growth trajectory.
Semi-Tech Leasing Group Co., a Chinese financing company controlled by local government entities and tied to the state-backed Big Fund, financed Glory View Technology Co.’s purchase of more than 700 servers worth over 3 billion yuan, including 32 Nvidia B300 chips from the Blackwell family. U.S. export controls prohibit sale of B300 chips to China without a license. Semi-Tech, which changed its name in June from Sino IC Leasing Co., had redacted some filings after Bloomberg reviewed unredacted versions earlier. Glory View began financing with Semi-Tech in August 2025 and then executed multiple lease agreements. Most servers were listed as deployed inside a China Mobile data center in Zhongwei, Ningxia, a designated national computing cluster zone. Nvidia said it is looking into the report and will work with the OEM customer to investigate; Asustek stressed compliance with export controls. Semi-Tech, Glory View, China Mobile, and MIIT did not respond. Regulatory scrutiny and possible licensing around restricted Blackwell chips could constrain Nvidia's China sales and future licensing, affecting margins and investor sentiment.
Credo Technology (CRDO) is up about 30% this year as investors bet on AI infrastructure growth. Credo’s high-speed connectivity chips and cables help data centers move data quickly, aligning with accelerating AI workloads. The company posted 114.7% year-over-year revenue growth in fiscal Q1 2027 and guided for $525–$535 million in fiscal Q2 revenue, about 10.6% sequential growth. Fortune Business Insights projects AI market CAGR of 26.6% through 2034, with North America constituting roughly 31.8% of the market and hyperscalers prioritizing North American AI infrastructure, a favorable backdrop for Credo. AI spending is described as rising, potentially creating a positive feedback loop that boosts hardware demand. Credo reported a 27% net profit margin in its latest quarter. The piece notes Credo wasn’t among Motley Fool Stock Advisor’s current top 10 picks and references Nvidia as a historical signal only. AI infrastructure growth could indirectly affect Nvidia through a broader data-center ecosystem, but the piece centers on Credo and provides no Nvidia-specific catalysts.
Financial Analysis (summary)
Updated
NVIDIA’s FY2026 financials show revenue, earnings and cash generation above FY2025 levels, alongside lower total debt and a larger cash balance. Annual gross and operating margins remained above their FY2021 levels, while return measures were lower than FY2025 but above FY2021.
In Q2 FY2027, revenue, operating income and net income were above Q1 FY2027 and Q2 FY2026. Free cash flow declined from Q1 FY2027 but was above Q2 FY2026, while net debt remained negative. Current valuation multiples were below the company’s five-year medians in several measures and near or above ten-year medians in others.