Netflix, Inc.
NFLX Communication Services Entertainment
Netflix, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $45.2 billion, up 15.9% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +11.9%
- EPS
- +48.3%
- Free cash flow
- +8.38%
- Total debt
- −12.5%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) valuation and DCF model
At $65.50 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 9.2% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 201.5% a year over the last five years. The price asks for less than its five-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 8.2%.
In December 2022 the price assumed 56.8% a year; Netflix, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 105.8% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 9.2% a year for ten years
- $65.50
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
- $151.68
- 131.6% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Netflix, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$209.80b 10 years of cash to equity+$443.01b terminal value−$4.43b net debt=$648.38b equity value÷4.27b shares=$151.68 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 18.61× | 33.28× | 63.29× | 71% below | 24.17× | 23% below | |
| P/FCF | 25.66× | 66.51× | 76.47× | 66% below | 17.36× | 48% above | |
| P/B | 9.25× | 11.21× | 15.96× | 42% below | 1.75× | 427% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.22× | 10.68× | 12.28× | 33% below | 8.85× | 7% below | |
| EV/Sales | 5.53× | 7.03× | 7.73× | 28% below | 1.68× | 229% above |
NFLX trades at 9.25× P/B, against a 10-year average of 15.96× (range 6.31×–24.25×). That is cheaper than 89% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $113.07 per share.