Newmont Corporation
NEM Basic Materials Gold
Newmont Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $22.7 billion, up 21.3% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +15.2%
- EPS
- +41.3%
- Free cash flow
- +13.4%
- Total debt
- −1.54%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Newmont Corporation (NEM) valuation and DCF model
At $121.82 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing −0.3% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 20.3% a year over the last ten years, 16.5% over the last five. The price asks for 20.6 points a year less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 7.9%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 4.2% a year; Newmont Corporation went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 30.5% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- −0.3% a year for ten years
- $121.82
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 20.3% a year for five years, then 12.2%
- $425.98
- 249.7% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Newmont Corporation’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$157.46b 10 years of cash to equity+$298.48b terminal value+$3.38b net cash=$459.32b equity value÷1.08b shares=$425.98 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 13.94× | 20.41× | 24.09× | 42% below | 17.98× | 22% below | |
| P/FCF | 12.38× | 41.95× | 29.84× | 59% below | 15.50× | 20% below | |
| P/B | 3.52× | 2.31× | 2.07× | 70% above | 2.42× | 45% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.58× | 30.67× | 20.63× | 63% below | 6.72× | 13% above | |
| EV/Sales | 4.65× | 3.89× | 3.71× | 25% above | 3.73× | 25% above |
NEM trades at 13.94× P/E, against a 10-year average of 24.09× (range 12.49×–54.14×). That is cheaper than 67% of the last 6 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $210.59 per share.