Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund

MSDL Financial Asset Management

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $397.3 million, down 4.52% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
−13.6%
EPS
−200.0%
Free cash flow
+230.0%
Total debt
−8.16%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

13.85 0.26 −1.84%
Market cap
$1.2B
P/E
284×
Fwd P/E
15.2×
Dividend yield
13.1%
F-score
6/9
Altman Z
n/a
Beneish M
n/a
Dividend safety
n/a

Insider Decisions last twelve months

Trades a month
Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 0.75%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Size
Market Cap 1,190.00
Revenue ttm 360.58
Net income ttm 4.84
Free cash flow ttm 372.65
Net debt Q 1,810.46
Valuation
P/E 283.60 (above 35: high)
Forward P/E 15.20
Price / sales 3.30
Forward P/S Powerpack
Price / FCF 3.20
Price / book 0.76
Financial health
Current ratio Q 0.00
Debt / equity Q 1.21
Interest coverage Q 0.00
Growth
Revenue growth Q −13.62% (below 0%: shrinking)
Operating income growth Q −7.07% (below 0%: shrinking)
EPS, this year −9.61% (below 0%: weak)
EPS, next year A +1.04%
Revenue, next year A −10.79% (below 0%: weak)
EPS, past 5 yrs −10.37% (below 0%: weak)
EPS, next 5 yrs A −4.57% (below 0%: weak)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges; (Q) is the latest quarter, (A) analysts’ estimates. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

Dividends

Yield
13.1%
Annual rate
1.85
Payout ratio
3,700.0%
Growth, 2024–25
0.00%/yr
  1. 2.00 ’24
  2. 2.00 ’25 +0
  3. 1.81 ’26e −10
paid forecast change on the year, % Powerpack

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 70 63 81 93
Receivables 29 31 27 —
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
113 112 136 —
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 85 91 81 —
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other — — — —
90 96 85 115

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales — 78.53% 19.88%
Cash Flow — 0.00% 0.00%
Earnings — 46.17% 36.00%
Book Value — 42.11% 7.75%

Earnings Trends EPS, adjusted, against the consensus

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.05) 0.09 (0.32) — —
’25 0.34 0.41 0.32 0.33 1.40
’24 0.59 0.66 0.60 0.58 2.43
’23 0.62 0.79 1.02 0.70 3.11
’22 0.39 (0.06) 0.15 0.31 0.79
’21 0.87 0.78 0.64 0.38 2.67
’20 (1.19) 0.99 0.91 1.71 2.42
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 89 89 86 — —
’25 101 100 100 97 397
’24 99 104 110 103 416
’23 84 89 94 101 368
’22 44 50 63 74 231
’21 17 26 32 44 120
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 86 104 129 — —
’25 34 24 39 54 151
’24 (54) (107) (117) (105) (383)
’23 (16) 9 (99) 23 (84)
’22 (125) (133) (118) (54) (430)
’21 (276) (352) (445) (587) (1,661)
’20 (83) (119) (89) (322) (613)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 86 104 129 — —
’25 34 24 39 54 151
’24 (54) (107) (117) (105) (383)
’23 (16) 9 (99) 23 (84)
’22 (125) (133) (118) (54) (430)
’21 (276) (352) (445) (587) (1,661)
’20 (83) (119) (89) (322) (613)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2.5
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Ten-year view Analyst estimates Powerpack
Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 TTM Sep ’26 Trend 10 yrs 2026e 2027e 2028e Next 3/yr
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue — — — — 22 120 231 368 416 397 361 +78.5% 354 359 347 (4.5%)
Gross margin, % — — — — 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.0 pt
EBT — — — (1) 11 73 128 200 223 179 165 n/m
EBT margin, % — — — 0.00 48.55 60.93 55.66 54.27 53.52 45.02 45.85 +45.0 pt
Net income — — — (1) 18 83 49 231 216 122 5 n/m
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue — — — 0.00 2.90 3.85 3.74 4.95 4.69 4.55 4.29 n/m
Earnings — — — (660.57) 2.42 2.67 0.79 3.11 2.43 1.40 0.05 n/m
Cash flow — — — 0.00 (81.14) (53.32) (6.97) (1.13) (4.31) 1.73 4.43 n/m
Capex — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 n/m
Free cash flow — — — 0.00 (81.14) (53.32) (6.97) (1.13) (4.31) 1.73 4.43 n/m
Book value — — — (622.78) 39.90 38.15 22.66 23.18 20.78 20.03 18.69 n/m
Shares, m — — — 0 8 31 62 74 89 87 85 +503.9%
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E — — — — 6.59 6.59 6.59 6.59 8.50 11.77 283.60 7.8
P/S — — — — 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.40 3.62 3.30 4.1
P/B — — — — 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.99 0.82 0.76 0.9
EV/Sales — — — — 8.05 8.05 8.05 8.05 8.99 8.67 — 8.3
EV/FCF — — — — (35.30) (35.30) (35.30) (35.30) (9.78) 22.82 — (21.4)
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow — — — 0 (613) (1,661) (430) (84) (383) 151 373 n/m
Capex — — — — — — — — — — 0 —
Free cash flow — — — 0 (613) (1,661) (430) (84) (383) 151 373 n/m
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital — — — (1) (2) 51 47 24 15 50 (115) n/m
Net debt — — — 0 323 1,176 1,442 1,426 1,910 2,005 1,810 n/m
Shareholders’ equity — — — (1) 302 1,189 1,397 1,721 1,842 1,748 1,570 n/m
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA — — — 0.00 5.56 5.29 1.77 7.34 5.97 3.12 0.13 +3.1 pt
ROIC — — — 0.00 0.87 1.66 2.38 3.51 3.44 2.96 3.06 +3.0 pt
ROE — — — 0.00 12.18 11.17 3.75 14.82 12.10 6.80 0.29 +6.8 pt
People
People Employees — — — — — — — — — — — —
Revenue/emp, $m — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — n/m
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Sep 2026 · fundamentals updated 5 Nov 2026

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund vs peers in Asset Management (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
TRIN Trinity Capital Inc. $1.7B 9.6× 8.9× +25.46% (above 0%: growing) +25.64% (above 0%: growing) +63.94% (above 0%: growing) 100.00% 80.88% Compare
PAX Patria Investments Limited $1.6B 21.9× 14.5× +20.52% (above 0%: growing) −12.50% (below 0%: shrinking) −41.24% (below 0%: shrinking) 40.31% 27.93% Compare
CSWC Capital Southwest Corporation $1.6B 13.2× 11.5× +17.93% (above 0%: growing) −26.78% (below 0%: shrinking) −170.75% (below 0%: shrinking) 100.00% 86.58% Compare
MSDL Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund $1.2B 284× 15.2× −13.62% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +230.03% (above 0%: growing) 100.00% 0.00%
OCSL Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. $1.1B 26.1× 22.7× −7.76% (below 0%: shrinking) −20.45% (below 0%: shrinking) +173.07% (above 0%: growing) 94.24% 82.04% Compare
RPC Ridgepost Capital, Inc. $1.0B 29.6× 35.2× +17.11% (above 0%: growing) +350.00% (above 0%: growing) +447.90% (above 0%: growing) 100.00% 28.63% Compare
GSBD Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. $990.6M 34.0× 11.6× −7.97% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +465.71% (above 0%: growing) 100.00% 87.38% Compare
BBDC BARINGS BDC, INC. $915.1M 10.3× 9.9× −11.20% (below 0%: shrinking) +9.09% (above 0%: growing) −250.65% (below 0%: shrinking) 100.00% 0.00% Compare
BUR Burford Capital Limited $869.6M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +110.46% (above 0%: growing) n/m −531.48% (below 0%: shrinking) 100.00% 66.57% Compare
Median of peers $1.1B 21.9× 11.6× +17.52% −1.71% +11.35% 100.00% 73.73%

All 121 Asset Management stocks →

Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 17 April 2026

Ownership

Directors and executive officers, together less than 1%
MS Credit Partners Holdings Inc. 11.41%
Morgan Stanley 5.10%
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more. Read the proxy statement

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) Latest News

4 Feb

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stockrow.com/MSDL · Data as of Nov 5, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com