MSCI Inc

MSCI Financial Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

MSCI Inc’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $3.1 billion, up 9.75% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+12.4%
EPS
+14.3%
Free cash flow
−8.93%
Total debt
+22.0%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

638.58 17.33 −2.64%
Market cap
$46.9B
P/E
34.8×
Fwd P/E
31.4×
Dividend yield
1.21%
F-score
8/9
Altman Z
n/a
Beneish M
n/a
Dividend safety
n/a

MSCI Inc (MSCI) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $638.58 the price implies 24.3% a year of dividend growth, at a 9.0% cost of equity.

The dividend a share grew 24.7% a year over the last ten years, 20.0% over the last five. The price asks for close to its ten-year rate.

In December 2017 the price assumed 28.0% a year; MSCI Inc went on to grow the dividend a share 19.7% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
24.3%
Last 5 years, reported
20.0%
Last 10 years, reported
24.7%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ the dividend a share at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
24.3% a year for ten years
$638.58
today’s price
Its base case
20.0% a year for five years, then 12.0%
$353.21
44.7% below today’s price

Both are growth in the dividend a share, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record MSCI Inc’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Dividends
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in the dividend. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies the dividend a share growing 24.3% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

The model is a share’s own: no debt to take off and no shares to divide among.

Advanced inputs

Against MSCI Inc’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.20 × equity premium 4.5% = 9.7% cost of equity; weighted, 9.7%.

Use 9.7%
Base case value per share $353.21 ten years discounted, and what follows
Current price $638.58 market price per share
Below today’s price 44.7% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$122.51 10 years of dividends+$230.70 terminal value=$353.21 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Financial Data & Stock Exchanges).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 34.79× 39.02× 42.92× 19% below 24.85× 40% above
P/FCF 32.64× 34.36× 36.72× 11% below 20.23× 61% above
P/B — 26.28× 26.28× — 4.56× —
EV/EBITDA — 32.06× 28.04× — 3.38× —
EV/Sales — 19.41× 16.32× — 3.90× —
29.85×42.21×54.57×66.93×10Y avg 42.92×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

MSCI trades at 34.79× P/E, against a 10-year average of 42.92× (range 25.73×–69.62×). That is cheaper than 89% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $787.96 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.