Moderna, Inc.
MRNA Healthcare Biotechnology
Moderna, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.9 billion, down 39.9% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 2.11%, EPS grew 7.51%, free cash flow grew 38.9% and total debt rose 1,765.6%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Member of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100.
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Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) Beneish M-score
Moderna, Inc.'s Beneish M-score for fiscal 2025 is −3.52; values above −1.78 are the model's flag for possible earnings manipulation — a statistical screen, not a finding.
Beneish M-score, annual
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Annual newest first
| Period | Beneish M-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | −3.52 | (0.42) |
| FY2024 | −3.10 | (0.52) |
| FY2023 | −2.58 | (0.47) |
| FY2022 | −2.12 | (19.26) |
| FY2021 | 17.14 | (5.12) |
| FY2020 | 22.26 | 25.41 |
| FY2019 | −3.15 | (0.42) |
| FY2018 | −2.73 | (0.81) |
| FY2017 | −1.92 | — |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days’ sales in receivables index | 0.86 | — | 0.79 | |
| Gross margin index | 0.99 | — | 0.52 | |
| Asset quality index | 1.09 | — | 0.44 | |
| Sales growth index | 0.60 | — | 0.54 | |
| Depreciation index | 0.63 | — | 0.07 | |
| SG&A index | 1.44 | — | −0.25 | |
| Total accruals to total assets | (0.08) | — | −0.36 | |
| Leverage index | 1.33 | — | −0.43 | |
| Beneish M-score | Low — no pattern the model associates with manipulation | −3.52 | ||
How the Beneish M-score works
M = −4.84 + 0.920 × DSRI + 0.528 × GMI + 0.404 × AQI + 0.892 × SGI + 0.115 × DEPI − 0.172 × SGAI + 4.679 × TATA − 0.327 × LVGI (Beneish, 1999): eight changes in the accounts from one fiscal year to the next, which the model weighs for the pattern seen in companies that later restated their earnings. Higher is worse.
| below −2.22 | Low — no pattern the model associates with manipulation |
|---|---|
| −2.22 to −1.78 | Elevated |
| above −1.78 | Flagged by the model |
−1.78 is the cut-off usually quoted from the paper, −2.22 a common conservative one. A statistical screen, not a finding of wrongdoing.
When asset quality, depreciation or SG&A cannot be worked out, that index is set to 1, as Beneish did, and the breakdown says so; with all three missing there is no score. Depreciation includes amortisation, and asset quality leaves out securities. Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs.
Beneish M-score against peers
| Company | Beneish M-score |
|---|---|
| RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. compare | −4.3× |
| MRNA Moderna, Inc. | −3.5× |
| RPRX Royalty Pharma PLC compare | −2.8× |
| ONC BeOne Medicines Ltd. - Sponsored ADR compare | −2.7× |
| REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. compare | −2.5× |
| VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated compare | −2.2× |
| ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. compare | −2.0× |
| ARGX argenex SE compare | −1.5× |
| ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. compare | — |
What Beneish M-score is
The Beneish M-Score combines eight year-on-year changes in the accounts into a statistical screen for patterns seen in companies that overstated earnings.
−4.84 + 0.920 × DSRI + 0.528 × GMI + 0.404 × AQI + 0.892 × SGI + 0.115 × DEPI − 0.172 × SGAI + 4.679 × TATA − 0.327 × LVGI
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