| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | 2 | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 3.92 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 3.28 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 3.12 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2.96 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 2.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 2.61 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 2.37 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 2.16 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 1.90 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 1.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 1.77 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 7,093.00 | 13,689.00 | 14,565.00 | 7,141.00 |
| Receivables | 10,349.00 | 10,278.00 | 11,775.00 | 12,564.00 |
| Inventory | 6,358.00 | 6,109.00 | 6,658.00 | 6,207.00 |
| Other | 8,368.00 | 8,706.00 | 10,518.00 | 10,767.00 |
| 32,168.00 | 38,782.00 | 43,516.00 | 36,679.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 3,922.00 | 4,079.00 | 4,404.00 | 3,827.00 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 25,694.00 | 28,420.00 | 28,327.00 | 27,731.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 16,286.00 | 16,607.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 15,529.00 | 15,806.00 | 17,276.00 | 16,400.00 |
65,011.00
|
| ’24 | 15,775.00 | 16,112.00 | 16,657.00 | 15,624.00 |
64,168.00
|
| ’23 | 14,487.00 | 15,035.00 | 15,962.00 | 14,631.00 |
60,115.00
|
| ’22 | 15,901.00 | 14,593.00 | 14,959.00 | 13,830.00 |
59,283.00
|
| ’21 | 10,627.00 | 11,402.00 | 13,154.00 | 13,521.00 |
48,704.00
|
| ’20 | 12,057.00 | 9,353.00 | 10,929.00 | 9,179.00 |
41,518.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 3,918.00 | 5,370.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 2,500.00 | 3,293.00 | 7,822.00 | 2,857.00 |
16,472.00
|
| ’24 | 3,090.00 | 5,637.00 | 9,291.00 | 3,450.00 |
21,468.00
|
| ’23 | 1,339.00 | 3,704.00 | 7,717.00 | 246.00 |
13,006.00
|
| ’22 | 4,761.00 | 4,302.00 | 5,602.00 | 4,430.00 |
19,095.00
|
| ’21 | 1,240.00 | 1,990.00 | 4,797.00 | 5,095.00 |
13,122.00
|
| ’20 | 707.00 | 1,918.00 | 1,582.00 | 3,410.00 |
7,617.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 2,927.00 | 4,477.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,172.00 | 2,529.00 | 6,835.00 | 1,824.00 |
12,360.00
|
| ’24 | 2,229.00 | 4,846.00 | 8,508.00 | 2,513.00 |
18,096.00
|
| ’23 | 332.00 | 2,739.00 | 6,815.00 | (743.00) |
9,143.00
|
| ’22 | 3,777.00 | 3,173.00 | 4,476.00 | 3,281.00 |
14,707.00
|
| ’21 | 158.00 | 1,004.00 | 3,625.00 | 3,887.00 |
8,674.00
|
| ’20 | (279.00) | 1,351.00 | 137.00 | 1,979.00 |
3,188.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (1.72) | (0.54) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 2.01 | 1.76 | 2.32 | 1.19 |
7.28
|
| ’24 | 1.87 | 2.14 | 1.24 | 1.48 |
6.74
|
| ’23 | 1.11 | (2.35) | 1.86 | (0.48) |
0.14
|
| ’22 | 1.70 | 1.55 | 1.28 | 1.18 |
5.71
|
| ’21 | 1.25 | 0.61 | 1.80 | 1.48 |
5.14
|
| ’20 | 1.26 | 1.18 | 1.16 | (0.83) |
2.78
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 72.88 | 99.14 | 94.48 | 73.31 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 112.89 | 119.65 | 134.63 | 107.59 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 69,000 | 72,000 | 75,000 | 75,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.86 | 0.83 | 0.86 | 0.87 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 59,283.00 | 60,115.00 | 64,168.00 | 65,011.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 70.63% | 73.17% | 76.32% | 74.80% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16,444.00 | 1,889.00 | 19,936.00 | 21,067.00 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 27.74% | 3.14% | 31.07% | 32.41% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14,526.00 | 377.00 | 17,133.00 | 18,263.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,909.00 | 3,872.00 | 4,499.00 | 5,838.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23.41 | 23.70 | 25.34 | 25.98 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 5.73 | 0.14 | 6.74 | 7.28 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.54 | 5.13 | 8.48 | 6.58 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.73) | (1.52) | (1.33) | (1.64) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.81 | 3.60 | 7.15 | 4.94 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.19 | 14.83 | 18.31 | 21.05 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,532.00 | 2,537.00 | 2,532.00 | 2,502.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.40 | 808.86 | 14.78 | 14.46 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.75 | 4.78 | 3.93 | 4.05 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.11 | 7.63 | 5.43 | 5.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.05 | 5.24 | 4.26 | 4.56 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20.34 | 34.43 | 15.12 | 23.98 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19,095.00 | 13,006.00 | 21,468.00 | 16,472.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (4,388.00) | (3,863.00) | (3,372.00) | (4,112.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14,707.00 | 9,143.00 | 18,096.00 | 12,360.00 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11,483.00 | 6,474.00 | 10,362.00 | 15,189.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 30,972.00 | 33,683.00 | 34,462.00 | 46,750.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17,780.00 | 26,590.00 | 20,773.00 | 32,185.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 46,058.00 | 37,635.00 | 46,372.00 | 52,662.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.52% | 0.34% | 15.30% | 14.37% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.90% | 2.87% | 18.82% | 16.28% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 34.44% | 0.87% | 40.75% | 36.86% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Merck & Co. (MRK) has delivered explosive revenue growth, doubling from $39.8 billion in 2016 to a projected $79.4 billion by 2026, largely powered by Keytruda, which now accounts for over 40% of sales at $25 billion annually. Efficiency shines through with revenue per employee up 52% since 2020 and gross margins expanding to 76%, but this rocket ship runs on a single engine facing a major patent cliff in 2028, when U.S. biosimilars could erode dominance.
Profits tell a wilder tale: a 2023 net income crash to near-zero from a massive R&D charge was followed by a stunning 2024 rebound to $17.1 billion, backed by fortress-like cash flows hitting $18.1 billion in free cash flow. Debt has risen, yet valuations look reasonable at 15x forward PE and 4x PS—cheaper than historical norms—but escalating insider selling, including from the CEO and top execs totaling $42 million in recent months, raises eyebrows amid peak stock prices.
Analysts project 10% revenue CAGR through 2027 with EPS doubling, buoyed by newcomers like Winrevair, but contrarians warn of moderating growth, litigation risks, and that “buy” consensus overlooking the cliff. Is Merck a maturing cash cow or a setup for volatility? Dive into the full analysis for the numbers that matter.
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