Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

KTOS Industrials Aerospace & Defense

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.3 billion, up 18.5% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+30.5%
EPS
0.00%
Free cash flow
+12.4%
Total debt
−42.2%

Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier

35.93 5.06 −12.34%
Market cap
$7.7B
P/E
241×
Fwd P/E
209×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
4/9
Altman Z
16.42
Beneish M
−1.87
Dividend safety
n/a

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $35.93 the price implies revenue of $7.10 billion by year ten, growing 16.6% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
16.6% a year for ten years
$35.93
today’s price
Its base case
7.4% a year for five years, then 4.5%
$17.34
51.7% below today’s price

Both are growth in revenue, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Revenue and margin
the four quarters to June 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in revenue. It usually slows as the company matures.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.17 × equity premium 4.5% = 9.6% cost of equity; weighted, 9.6%.

Use 9.6%
Equity value $3.07b ▼ below market cap $6.36b
Base case value per share $17.34 equity value ÷ 176.90m shares
Current price $35.93 market price per share
Below today’s price 51.7% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$(42.10m) 10 years of cash to equity+$1.81b terminal value+$1.30b net cash=$3.07b equity value÷176.90m shares=$17.34 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Aerospace & Defense).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 240.94× 251.53× 251.53× 4% below 31.60× 662% above
P/FCF — 431.86× 431.86× — 33.23× —
P/B 2.25× 3.07× 2.94× 23% below 2.99× 25% below
EV/EBITDA 67.12× 65.36× 50.28× 33% above 19.00× 253% above
EV/Sales 4.22× 4.14× 3.50× 20% above 3.37× 25% above
33.34×65.57×97.80×130.03×10Y avg 50.28×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

KTOS trades at 67.12× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 50.28× (range 27.43×–139.19×). That is dearer than 89% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $28.76 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.