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Tuesday 3 November 2026 Export IOT’s income statement to Excel — free account

Samsara Inc.

IOT Technology Software Infrastructure

Samsara Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended January 2026) was $1.6 billion, up 29.6% from fiscal 2025.

Revenue
+29.9%
EPS
+200.0%
Free cash flow
+46.5%

Quarter to July 2026, against a year earlier

41.25 0.65 −1.55%
Market cap
$24.5B
P/E
252×
Fwd P/E
223×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
8.57
Beneish M
−2.56
Dividend safety
n/a
Overview Business Profile Earnings & Analysis
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios
Segments Valuation Filings

Samsara Inc. (IOT) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $41.25 the price implies revenue of $29.64 billion by year ten, growing 32.0% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
32.0% a year for ten years
$41.25
today’s price
Its base case
40.0% a year for five years, then 24.0%
$41.17
0.2% below today’s price

Both are growth in revenue, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Samsara Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Revenue and margin
the four quarters to July 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in revenue. It usually slows as the company matures.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
Free cash flow Revenue and margin
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Samsara Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.33 × equity premium 4.5% = 10.3% cost of equity; weighted, 10.3%.

Use 10.3%
Equity value $24.06b ▼ below market cap $24.10b
Base case value per share $41.17 equity value ÷ 584.32m shares
Current price $41.25 market price per share
Below today’s price 0.2% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$3.82b 10 years of cash to equity+$19.40b terminal value+$828.93m net cash=$24.06b equity value÷584.32m shares=$41.17 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Software Infrastructure).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 252.29× 252.29× 252.29× 0% above 26.15× 865% above
P/FCF 94.32× 141.44× 141.44× 33% below 17.26× 446% above
P/B 15.04× 15.67× 14.19× 6% above 2.94× 412% above
EV/EBITDA 472.76× 472.76× 472.76× 0% above 15.00× 3053% above
EV/Sales 12.59× 14.17× 14.40× 13% below 2.95× 327% above
P/FCF P/B EV/Sales
10.06×13.90×17.74×21.58×10Y avg 14.40×20202021202220232024202520262026

IOT trades at 12.59× EV/Sales, against a 10-year average of 14.40× (range 8.84×–22.38×). That is cheaper than 71% of the last 7 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $46.96 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.