Humana Inc.
HUM Healthcare Healthcare Plans
Humana Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $129.7 billion, up 10.1% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +26.1%
- EPS
- −16.7%
- Free cash flow
- +158.7%
- Total debt
- −0.82%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Humana Inc. (HUM) valuation and DCF model
At $433.74 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing −1.8% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 4.9% a year over the last ten years, −18.3% over the last five. The price asks for 6.7 points a year less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for −2.1%.
In December 2017 the price assumed −9.6% a year; Humana Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay −31.8% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- −1.8% a year for ten years
- $433.74
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 4.9% a year for five years, then 2.9%
- $615.44
- 41.9% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Humana Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$27.79b 10 years of cash to equity+$34.14b terminal value+$12.61b net cash=$74.54b equity value÷121.11m shares=$615.44 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 41.91× | 27.90× | 23.25× | 80% above | 22.50× | 86% above | |
| P/FCF | 16.51× | 28.66× | 26.44× | 38% below | 14.76× | 12% above | |
| P/B | 2.77× | 2.81× | 3.34× | 17% below | 2.77× | 0% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.61× | 9.47× | 9.51× | 33% above | 12.61× | 0% above | |
| EV/Sales | 0.26× | 0.34× | 0.46× | 44% below | 0.36× | 29% below |
HUM trades at 0.26× EV/Sales, against a 10-year average of 0.46× (range 0.18×–0.67×). That is cheaper than 78% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $697.17 per share.