Henry Schein, Inc.
HSIC Healthcare Medical Distribution
Henry Schein, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $13.2 billion, up 4.03% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +3.95%
- EPS
- +34.8%
- Free cash flow
- −7.09%
- Total debt
- +15.6%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Henry Schein, Inc. (HSIC) valuation and DCF model
At $86.73 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 7.9% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 1.8% a year over the last ten years, 2.2% over the last five. The price asks for about four times its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 13.2%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 6.6% a year; Henry Schein, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 2.3% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 7.9% a year for ten years
- $86.73
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 1.8% a year for five years, then 1.1%
- $45.90
- 47.1% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Henry Schein, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$3.64b 10 years of cash to equity+$4.03b terminal value−$2.34b net debt=$5.33b equity value÷116.18m shares=$45.90 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 22.76× | 22.44× | 20.61× | 10% above | 25.17× | 10% below | |
| P/FCF | 17.00× | 18.97× | 17.96× | 5% below | 21.12× | 19% below | |
| P/B | 2.49× | 2.39× | 2.54× | 2% below | 2.28× | 9% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.38× | 11.99× | 12.14× | 6% below | 17.33× | 34% below | |
| EV/Sales | 0.86× | 0.89× | 0.95× | 10% below | 0.86× | 0% above |
HSIC trades at 2.49× P/B, against a 10-year average of 2.54× (range 2.18×–3.08×). That is cheaper than 56% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $88.62 per share.