Hecla Mining Company

HL Basic Materials Other Precious Metals & Mining

Revenue
−3.59%
EPS
+48.5%
Free cash flow
+456.1%
Total debt
−97.4%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

14.51 0.44 −2.94%
Market cap
$9.7B
P/E
25.3×
Fwd P/E
17.0×
Dividend yield
0.10%
F-score
8/9
Altman Z
8.69
Beneish M
−1.02
Dividend safety
70/100

Hecla Mining Company (HL) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $14.51 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing −0.9% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 35.8% a year over the last ten years, 11.8% over the last five. The price asks for 36.8 points a year less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 7.9%.

In December 2017 the price assumed 45.9% a year; Hecla Mining Company went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 49.7% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
−0.9%
Last 5 years, reported
11.8%
Last 10 years, reported
35.8%
Industry median implies
7.9%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
−0.9% a year for ten years
$14.51
today’s price
Its base case
25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
$67.66
366.3% above today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Hecla Mining Company’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing −0.9% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Hecla Mining Company’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.44 × equity premium 4.5% = 10.8% cost of equity; weighted, 10.8%.

Use 10.8%
Equity value $45.40b ▲ above market cap $9.74b
Base case value per share $67.66 equity value ÷ 670.92m shares
Current price $14.51 market price per share
Above today’s price 366.3% upside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$14.37b 10 years of cash to equity+$30.34b terminal value+$684.49m net cash=$45.40b equity value÷670.92m shares=$67.66 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Other Precious Metals & Mining).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 25.34× 54.80× 54.80× 54% below 14.87× 70% above
P/FCF 12.91× 134.47× 114.25× 89% below 35.79× 64% below
P/B 3.45× 2.56× 1.91× 80% above 2.34× 48% above
EV/EBITDA 9.55× 19.09× 16.40× 42% below 10.70× 11% below
EV/Sales 5.73× 5.61× 4.67× 23% above 5.61× 2% above
18.51×180.13×341.76×503.38×10Y avg 114.25×2016201720202021202420252026

HL trades at 12.91× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 114.25× (range 12.91×–556.37×). That is cheaper than 100% of the last 6 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $128.41 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.