Heico Corporation

HEI Industrials Aerospace & Defense

Heico Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended October 2025) was $4.5 billion, up 16.3% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+23.1%
EPS
+33.1%
Free cash flow
+47.7%
Total debt
+3.82%

Quarter to July 2026, against a year earlier

336.31 1.41 −0.42%
Market cap
$39.9B
P/E
55.5×
Fwd P/E
50.7×
Dividend yield
0.07%
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
8.17
Beneish M
−2.40
Dividend safety
84/100

Heico Corporation (HEI) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $336.31 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 18.0% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 16.1% a year over the last ten years, 16.4% over the last five. The price asks for close to its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 14.7%.

In October 2017 the price assumed 13.2% a year; Heico Corporation went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 15.9% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
18.0%
Last 5 years, reported
16.4%
Last 10 years, reported
16.1%
Industry median implies
14.7%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
18.0% a year for ten years
$336.31
today’s price
Its base case
16.1% a year for five years, then 9.7%
$229.20
31.8% below today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Heico Corporation’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to July 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 18.0% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Heico Corporation’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.08 × equity premium 4.5% = 9.2% cost of equity; weighted, 9.2%.

Use 9.2%
Equity value $32.32b ▼ below market cap $47.43b
Base case value per share $229.20 equity value ÷ 141.03m shares
Current price $336.31 market price per share
Below today’s price 31.8% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$12.79b 10 years of cash to equity+$21.84b terminal value−$2.30b net debt=$32.32b equity value÷141.03m shares=$229.20 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Aerospace & Defense).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 55.50× 60.42× 54.39× 2% above 31.60× 76% above
P/FCF 45.76× 51.49× 44.93× 2% above 33.23× 38% above
P/B 9.38× 8.76× 8.24× 14% above 2.99× 213% above
EV/EBITDA 33.81× 35.43× 32.72× 3% above 19.00× 78% above
EV/Sales 9.55× 9.47× 8.60× 11% above 3.37× 183% above
41.71×49.54×57.38×65.22×10Y avg 54.39×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

HEI trades at 55.50× P/E, against a 10-year average of 54.39× (range 41.07×–65.85×). That is dearer than 56% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $329.55 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.