Garmin Ltd.
GRMN Technology Scientific & Technical Instruments
Garmin Ltd.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $7.2 billion, up 15.1% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +12.2%
- EPS
- +34.4%
- Free cash flow
- −31.0%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) valuation and DCF model
At $285.57 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 15.1% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 13.3% a year over the last ten years, 11.6% over the last five. The price asks for close to its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 12.1%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 6.1% a year; Garmin Ltd. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 12.6% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 15.1% a year for ten years
- $285.57
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 13.3% a year for five years, then 8.0%
- $211.31
- 26.0% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Garmin Ltd.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$14.92b 10 years of cash to equity+$23.65b terminal value+$2.34b net cash=$40.90b equity value÷193.57m shares=$211.31 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 27.24× | 23.20× | 21.59× | 26% above | 28.21× | 3% below | |
| P/FCF | 37.55× | 30.43× | 28.31× | 33% above | 24.15× | 56% above | |
| P/B | 5.76× | 4.30× | 3.96× | 45% above | 3.10× | 86% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.33× | 18.25× | 16.83× | 27% above | 18.28× | 17% above | |
| EV/Sales | 6.68× | 5.05× | 4.61× | 45% above | 4.64× | 44% above |
GRMN trades at 21.33× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 16.83× (range 12.07×–21.33×). That is dearer than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $227.88 per share.