Ero Copper Corp.

ERO Basic Materials Copper

Ero Copper Corp.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $785.8 million, up 67.1% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to March 2026, revenue grew 110.4%, EPS grew 35.1%, free cash flow grew 441.3% and total debt fell 9.59%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for three consecutive years.

34.16 0.59 −1.70%
Market cap
$3.6B
P/E
12.2×
Fwd P/E
5.9×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
8/9
Altman Z
3.21
Beneish M
−2.01
Dividend safety
n/a

Insider Decisions trades per month

Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 2.16%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 3,620.00
Revenue 923.93
Net Income 295.59
Free Cash Flow 138.74
Net Debt 497.19
Current Ratio 1.30
Debt/Equity 0.53
P/E ratio 12.16
Fwd P/E 5.92
P/S ratio 3.85
P/B ratio 3.23
Past 5Y EPS Growth 35.20% (at or above 15%: strong)
This Y EPS Growth 90.86% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y EPS Growth 19.82% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y revenue growth 59.64% (at or above 10%: strong)
Next 5Y EPS Growth 29.66% (at or above 15%: strong)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/E against its own 10 years 33.97%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 52.14%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 50.12%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 52.50%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 41.76%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio —
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 Powerpack
2025 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 112 50 105 91
Receivables 6 21 41 48
Inventory 42 42 107 108
Other 39 29 23 43
199 142 276 290
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 121 102 154 148
ST’ Debt 20 46 56 39
Other 1 18 7 8
174 212 261 224

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales — 19.38% 22.61%
Cash Flow — 19.40% 40.20%
Earnings — 38.57% 37.33%
Book Value — 34.37% 20.04%

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 263 — — — —
’25 125 164 177 320 786
’24 106 117 125 123 470
’23 101 105 105 116 427
’22 109 115 86 117 426
’21 123 121 112 135 490
’20 68 71 94 91 324
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 93 — — — —
’25 65 90 110 129 395
’24 17 15 53 61 145
’23 16 55 42 49 163
’22 44 22 43 34 143
’21 62 85 151 67 365
’20 37 42 44 39 163
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 32 — — — —
’25 6 19 34 54 113
’24 (91) (61) (25) (16) (192)
’23 (70) (71) (80) (77) (298)
’22 (11) (36) (52) (53) (152)
’21 36 49 89 9 183
’20 9 12 17 7 45
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1.04 — — — —
’25 0.77 0.68 0.35 0.74 2.53
’24 (0.07) (0.52) 0.39 (0.47) (0.66)
’23 0.26 0.32 0.03 0.37 0.98
’22 0.57 0.26 0.04 0.24 1.10
’21 0.34 0.89 0.28 0.65 2.21
’20 (0.62) 0.08 0.34 0.71 0.56
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2.2
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low — 3.88 5.75 7.17 5.93 13.33 8.07 11.35 12.78 9.30

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High — 5.96 9.17 19.20 18.22 25.99 16.72 24.38 24.34 29.03
People
People Employees — — 2,138 2,138 2,457 2,864 2,864 3,374 3,690 3,547
Revenue/emp, $m — 0.00 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.17 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.22
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue — 148 233 285 324 490 426 427 470 786
Gross margin, % 0.00 12.15 35.27 41.10 58.05 65.08 43.90 36.69 38.39 43.85
EBT (3) 2 3 75 61 237 126 112 (75) 331
EBT margin, % 0.00 1.33 1.14 26.27 18.95 48.36 29.64 26.28 (16.04) 42.11
Net income (3) 17 (3) 92 52 203 103 94 (68) 267
Depreciation 1 38 45 46 39 40 44 66 69 102
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 0.00 2.64 2.78 3.34 3.75 5.53 4.70 4.54 4.56 7.58
Earnings (0.43) 0.31 (0.04) 1.08 0.60 2.27 1.12 0.99 (0.66) 2.54
Cash flow (1.30) 0.62 0.99 1.50 1.89 4.11 1.58 1.73 1.41 3.81
Capex 0.00 (1.14) (1.21) (1.25) (1.36) (2.05) (3.26) (4.89) (3.27) (2.72)
Free cash flow (1.30) (0.52) (0.22) 0.25 0.52 2.06 (1.68) (3.16) (1.86) 1.09
Book value 3.55 2.31 1.24 2.34 2.48 4.46 5.97 8.60 5.73 9.05
Shares, m 7 56 84 85 86 89 91 94 103 104
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E — 0.00 0.00 16.87 27.97 6.74 12.30 16.07 0.00 11.14
P/S — 0.00 2.63 5.45 4.32 2.77 2.93 3.47 2.96 3.73
P/B — 0.00 5.91 7.80 6.54 3.43 2.31 1.83 2.35 3.13
EV/Sales — 0.00 3.19 5.93 4.65 2.63 3.18 4.22 4.14 4.38
EV/FCF — 0.00 (40.79) 78.40 33.46 7.04 (8.90) (6.07) (10.14) 30.56
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow (9) 35 83 128 163 365 143 163 145 395
Capex 0 (64) (101) (106) (118) (182) (296) (461) (338) (282)
Free cash flow (9) (29) (18) 22 45 183 (152) (298) (192) 113
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital (128) 43 (9) (5) 36 86 263 26 (70) 15
Total debt 161 139 152 160 168 62 423 435 609 616
Net debt 143 86 130 137 106 (68) 105 323 559 511
Shareholders’ equity 25 130 104 199 214 395 542 809 591 938
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA (0.83) 6.37 (0.85) 22.33 10.76 33.88 10.85 6.87 (4.61) 15.60
ROIC 0.00 (1.68) 13.36 14.60 29.52 52.02 12.53 5.25 5.92 11.68
ROE (3.94) 29.69 (2.74) 60.67 24.99 65.97 21.72 13.73 (9.78) 34.50
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Mar 2026

Charts ten years each

Ero Copper Corp. vs peers in Copper (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
SCCO Southern Copper Corporation $170.3B 29.3× 23.5× +40.58% (above 0%: growing) +64.75% (above 0%: growing) +111.27% (above 0%: growing) 67.60% 61.16% Compare
FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. $100.7B 34.1× 26.2× −7.29% (below 0%: shrinking) +28.30% (above 0%: growing) +1.07% (above 0%: growing) 31.10% 28.50% Compare
HBM HudBay Minerals Inc $10.8B 13.9× 14.4× +17.69% (above 0%: growing) +13.33% (above 0%: growing) +4.51% (above 0%: growing) 42.61% 34.80% Compare
ERO Ero Copper Corp. $3.6B 12.2× 5.9× +110.39% (above 0%: growing) +35.06% (above 0%: growing) +441.33% (above 0%: growing) 40.25% 35.04%
IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. $1.4B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −32.21% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −88.00% (below 0%: shrinking) 50.83% (2,966.85%) Compare
Median of peers $55.7B 29.3× 23.5× +5.20% +28.30% +2.79% 46.72% 31.65%

All 5 Copper stocks →

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) key facts

  • Strength: Ero Copper Corp.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $785.8 million, up 67.1% from fiscal 2024.
  • Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) is a Copper company in the Basic Materials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • As of October 16, 2026, ERO traded at $34.16, a market capitalization of $3.6 billion.
  • Return on equity was 34.5% and debt-to-equity 0.53.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 8 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 3.21 (safe zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Latest News

8 Aug

Impact 4 · transcript

12 Jan

stockrow.com/ERO · Data as of Mar 31, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com