Ero Copper Corp.
Ero Copper Corp.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $785.8 million, up 67.1% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to March 2026, revenue grew 110.4%, EPS grew 35.1%, free cash flow grew 441.3% and total debt fell 9.59%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for three consecutive years.
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Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Altman Z-score
Ero Copper Corp.'s Altman Z-score for fiscal 2025 is 3.21, in the safe zone (above 2.99).
Altman Z-score, annual
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Annual newest first
| Period | Altman Z-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 3.21 | 1.27 |
| FY2024 | 1.94 | (0.35) |
| FY2023 | 2.29 | (0.39) |
| FY2022 | 2.68 | (2.96) |
| FY2021 | 5.64 | 0.50 |
| FY2020 | 5.14 | 0.14 |
| FY2019 | 5.01 | 2.47 |
| FY2018 | 2.53 | 1.21 |
| FY2017 | 1.32 | — |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Working capital / total assets | 0.01 | — | 0.01 | |
| Retained earnings / total assets | 0.39 | — | 0.54 | |
| EBIT / total assets | 0.14 | — | 0.46 | |
| Market value of equity / total liabilities | 2.97 | — | 1.78 | |
| Sales / total assets | 0.41 | — | 0.41 | |
| Altman Z-score | Safe zone | 3.21 | ||
| Z″ Variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies (drops the sales/assets term, uses book equity) | Safe zone | 3.26 | ||
How the Altman Z-score works
Z = 1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets (Altman, 1968). The market value of equity is the close on the last trading day of the fiscal year times weighted basic shares.
Z″ = 6.56 × working capital ÷ total assets + 3.26 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 6.72 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 1.05 × book equity ÷ total liabilities (Altman, Hartzell and Peck, 1995), the variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies.
| Zone | Z | Z″ |
|---|---|---|
| Safe zone | above 2.99 | above 2.60 |
| Grey zone | 1.81–2.99 | 1.10–2.60 |
| Distress zone | below 1.81 | below 1.10 |
Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs, whose balance sheets the model does not describe, nor when a figure is missing or there is no share price in the week to the fiscal year end.
Altman Z-score against peers
| Company | Altman Z-score |
|---|---|
| IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. compare | 19.2× |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corporation compare | 9.2× |
| ERO Ero Copper Corp. | 3.2× |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. compare | 2.6× |
| HBM HudBay Minerals Inc compare | 2.5× |
What Altman Z-score is
The Altman Z-Score weighs working capital, retained earnings, operating profit, market value and sales against assets and debts to gauge the risk of distress.
1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets