Domino's Pizza Inc
DPZ Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Domino's Pizza Inc’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.9 billion, up 4.96% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +3.36%
- EPS
- +12.8%
- Free cash flow
- −3.26%
- Total debt
- +1.46%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) valuation and DCF model
At $335.29 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 8.8% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 10.7% a year over the last ten years, 2.2% over the last five. The price asks for close to its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 11.6%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 15.8% a year; Domino's Pizza Inc went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 13.1% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 8.8% a year for ten years
- $335.29
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 10.7% a year for five years, then 6.4%
- $333.05
- 0.7% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Domino's Pizza Inc’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$6.35b 10 years of cash to equity+$9.34b terminal value−$4.49b net debt=$11.20b equity value÷33.62m shares=$333.05 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 18.78× | 24.57× | 28.93× | 35% below | 26.18× | 28% below | |
| P/FCF | 16.97× | 24.87× | 28.64× | 41% below | 17.92× | 5% below | |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.37× | 18.56× | 21.02× | 32% below | 12.81× | 12% above | |
| EV/Sales | 3.11× | 3.79× | 4.18× | 26% below | 1.29× | 140% above |
DPZ trades at 3.11× EV/Sales, against a 10-year average of 4.18× (range 3.11×–5.91×). That is cheaper than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $496.39 per share.