Deckers Outdoor Corporation
DECK Consumer Cyclical Footwear & Accessories
Deckers Outdoor Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended March 2026) was $5.5 billion, up 9.76% from fiscal 2025.
- Revenue
- +3.47%
- EPS
- +27.5%
- Free cash flow
- −468.6%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) valuation and DCF model
At $87.63 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing −2.2% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 29.0% a year over the last ten years, 32.9% over the last five. The price asks for 31.2 points a year less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 9.6%.
In March 2017 the price assumed 5.1% a year; Deckers Outdoor Corporation went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 24.3% a year to FY2026.
- The price needs
- −2.2% a year for ten years
- $87.63
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
- $438.72
- 400.7% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Deckers Outdoor Corporation’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$19.49b 10 years of cash to equity+$41.15b terminal value+$1.21b net cash=$61.85b equity value÷140.99m shares=$438.72 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.59× | 19.59× | 19.28× | 40% below | 17.09× | 32% below | |
| P/FCF | 11.50× | 19.35× | 23.19× | 50% below | 12.64× | 9% below | |
| P/B | 5.10× | 7.17× | 5.76× | 11% below | 2.84× | 79% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.66× | 13.51× | 12.08× | 37% below | 11.19× | 32% below | |
| EV/Sales | 1.91× | 3.11× | 2.55× | 25% below | 1.27× | 51% above |
DECK trades at 5.10× P/B, against a 10-year average of 5.76× (range 2.92×–11.42×). That is cheaper than 56% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $99.00 per share.