Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd.

CRDO Technology Semiconductors

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended April 2026) was $1.3 billion, up 205.7% from fiscal 2025.

Revenue
+114.7%
EPS
+89.2%
Free cash flow
+61.6%

Quarter to July 2026, against a year earlier

114.55 21.95 −16.08%
Market cap
$25.7B
P/E
38.8×
Fwd P/E
34.2×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
82.75
Beneish M
−0.51
Dividend safety
n/a

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (CRDO) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $114.55 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 27.7% a year for ten years.

The industry’s median company is priced for 25.1%.

Price implies
27.7%
Industry median implies
25.1%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
27.7% a year for ten years
$114.55
today’s price
Its base case
5.0% a year for five years, then 3.0%
$23.06
79.9% below today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to July 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 27.7% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 3.29 × equity premium 4.5% = 19.1% cost of equity; weighted, 19.1%.

Use 19.1%
Equity value $4.39b ▼ below market cap $21.83b
Base case value per share $23.06 equity value ÷ 190.57m shares
Current price $114.55 market price per share
Below today’s price 79.9% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$1.62b 10 years of cash to equity+$2.00b terminal value+$764.26m net cash=$4.39b equity value÷190.57m shares=$23.06 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Semiconductors).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 38.83× 84.56× 84.56× 54% below 36.98× 5% above
P/FCF 48.58× 133.90× 133.90× 64% below 43.80× 11% above
P/B 7.81× 8.40× 7.50× 4% above 3.87× 102% above
EV/EBITDA 37.03× 71.18× 71.18× 48% below 20.84× 78% above
EV/Sales 12.91× 13.63× 11.99× 8% above 5.07× 155% above
71.72×125.77×179.82×233.87×10Y avg 133.90×2024202520262026

CRDO trades at 48.58× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 133.90× (range 48.58×–248.47×). That is cheaper than 100% of the last 3 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $315.73 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.