Carlyle Group Inc.
Carlyle Group Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.8 billion, down 11.9% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- −28.6%
- EPS
- −57.3%
- Free cash flow
- +82.6%
- Total debt
- +35.2%
Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier
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Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) valuation and DCF model
At $39.43 the price implies 4.2% a year of dividend growth, at a 9.0% cost of equity.
The dividend a share grew −20.0% a year over the last ten years, 13.8% over the last five. The price asks for 24.3 points a year more than its ten-year rate. Return on equity averaged 14.8% over ten years; the price implies 15.2% for good.
- The price needs
- 4.2% a year for ten years
- $39.43
- today’s price
- Its base case
- −10.0% a year for five years, then −6.0%
- $15.49
- 60.7% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Carlyle Group Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$9.16 10 years of dividends+$6.33 terminal value=$15.49 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 39.72× | 19.82× | 39.06× | 2% above | 13.38× | 197% above | |
| P/FCF | — | 11.06× | 11.06× | — | 7.79× | — | |
| P/B | 1.99× | 2.39× | 2.18× | 9% below | 0.91× | 119% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 24.43× | 15.90× | — | 3.38× | — | |
| EV/Sales | — | 2.76× | 2.51× | — | 3.90× | — |
P/FCF has no reading today; its 10-year average is 11.06×.