Cadence Design Systems, Inc.
CDNS Technology Software Application
Cadence Design Systems, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $5.3 billion, up 14.1% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +22.0%
- EPS
- −0.15%
- Free cash flow
- +30.7%
- Total debt
- +6.22%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS) valuation and DCF model
At $313.85 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 22.7% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 15.1% a year over the last ten years, 6.6% over the last five. The price asks for about twice its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 15.8%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 11.9% a year; Cadence Design Systems, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 18.9% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 22.7% a year for ten years
- $313.85
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 15.1% a year for five years, then 9.1%
- $142.65
- 54.5% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Cadence Design Systems, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$15.15b 10 years of cash to equity+$25.21b terminal value−$1.18b net debt=$39.17b equity value÷274.62m shares=$142.65 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 61.70× | 66.90× | 58.08× | 6% above | 25.90× | 138% above | |
| P/FCF | 48.64× | 54.11× | 44.44× | 9% above | 17.17× | 183% above | |
| P/B | 12.43× | 16.39× | 14.53× | 14% below | 2.60× | 378% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 40.13× | 45.67× | 40.88× | 2% below | 15.48× | 159% above | |
| EV/Sales | 14.13× | 15.41× | 12.71× | 11% above | 2.89× | 388% above |
CDNS trades at 48.64× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 44.44× (range 21.91×–72.90×). That is dearer than 56% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $286.74 per share.