Conagra Brands
CAG Consumer Defensive Packaged Foods
Conagra Brands' revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended May 2026) was $11.3 billion, down 2.85% from fiscal 2025.
- Revenue
- −1.39%
- EPS
- +5.88%
- Free cash flow
- −464.5%
- Total debt
- −6.20%
Quarter to August 2026, against a year earlier
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Conagra Brands (CAG) valuation and DCF model
At $15.08 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 3.2% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 1.7% a year over the last ten years, 8.5% over the last five. The price asks for about twice its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 4.2%.
In May 2017 the price assumed 4.0% a year; Conagra Brands went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 0.3% a year to FY2026.
- The price needs
- 3.2% a year for ten years
- $15.08
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 1.7% a year for five years, then 1.0%
- $11.16
- 26.0% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Conagra Brands’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$6.04b 10 years of cash to equity+$6.66b terminal value−$7.36b net debt=$5.35b equity value÷479.45m shares=$11.16 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | — | 21.36× | 21.01× | — | 12.84× | — | |
| P/FCF | 8.13× | 11.71× | 14.83× | 45% below | 8.97× | 9% below | |
| P/B | 1.15× | 1.39× | 1.86× | 38% below | 1.58× | 27% below | |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 14.17× | 14.43× | — | 8.34× | — | |
| EV/Sales | 1.31× | 1.58× | 1.94× | 33% below | 0.97× | 36% above |
CAG trades at 8.13× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 14.83× (range 6.26×–26.87×). That is cheaper than 89% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $27.52 per share.