BNY

BNY Financial Banks Diversified

BNY’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $40.8 billion, up 2.12% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
−4.67%
EPS
+24.7%
Free cash flow
+369.6%
Total debt
+5.35%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

148.32 0.83 +0.56%
Market cap
$99.3B
P/E
16.2×
Fwd P/E
15.8×
Dividend yield
1.71%
F-score
8/9
Altman Z
n/a
Beneish M
n/a
Dividend safety
n/a

BNY (BNY) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $148.32 the price implies 21.6% a year of dividend growth, at a 9.0% cost of equity.

The dividend a share grew 11.4% a year over the last ten years, 10.0% over the last five. The price asks for about twice its ten-year rate. Return on equity averaged 10.0% over ten years; the price implies 17.4% for good.

In December 2017 the price assumed 21.5% a year; BNY went on to grow the dividend a share 5.1% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
21.6%
Last 5 years, reported
10.0%
Last 10 years, reported
11.4%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ the dividend a share at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
21.6% a year for ten years
$148.32
today’s price
Its base case
11.4% a year for five years, then 6.9%
$59.50
59.9% below today’s price

Both are growth in the dividend a share, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record BNY’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Dividends
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in the dividend. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies the dividend a share growing 21.6% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

The model is a share’s own: no debt to take off and no shares to divide among.

Advanced inputs

Against BNY’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.01 × equity premium 4.5% = 8.8% cost of equity; weighted, 8.8%.

Use 8.8%
Base case value per share $59.50 ten years discounted, and what follows
Current price $148.32 market price per share
Below today’s price 59.9% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$23.76 10 years of dividends+$35.74 terminal value=$59.50 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Banks Diversified).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 16.17× 14.84× 13.63× 19% above 11.69× 38% above
P/FCF 14.06× 13.95× 12.68× 11% above 8.83× 59% above
P/B 2.52× 1.65× 1.43× 77% above 1.53× 65% above
11.04×12.74×14.43×16.13×10Y avg 13.63×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

BNY trades at 16.17× P/E, against a 10-year average of 13.63× (range 11.08×–16.17×). That is dearer than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $125.05 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.