APA Corporation
APA Energy Oil & Gas E&P
APA Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $9.2 billion, down 5.31% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +39.4%
- EPS
- +252.6%
- Free cash flow
- +81.1%
- Total debt
- −26.6%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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APA Corporation (APA) valuation and DCF model
At $44.69 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing −16.0% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew −0.1% a year over the last five years. The price asks for 15.8 points a year less than its five-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 2.4%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 8.8% a year; APA Corporation went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 19.6% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- −16.0% a year for ten years
- $44.69
- today’s price
- Its base case
- −0.1% a year for five years, then −0.1%
- $153.76
- 244.1% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record APA Corporation’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$28.37b 10 years of cash to equity+$29.32b terminal value−$3.22b net debt=$54.47b equity value÷354.25m shares=$153.76 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 7.07× | 6.27× | 39.64× | 82% below | 9.67× | 27% below | |
| P/FCF | 10.51× | 9.11× | 106.35× | 90% below | 8.37× | 26% above | |
| P/B | 1.88× | 3.64× | 2.95× | 36% below | 1.19× | 58% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.08× | 3.13× | 7.76× | 60% below | 4.59× | 33% below | |
| EV/Sales | 1.96× | 1.67× | 2.24× | 13% below | 2.27× | 14% below |
APA trades at 3.08× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 7.76× (range 2.50×–36.26×). That is cheaper than 75% of the last 8 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $126.21 per share.