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Amrize Ltd

AMRZ Basic Materials Building Materials

Amrize Ltd’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $11.8 billion, up 0.95% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+2.20%
EPS
+3.49%
Free cash flow
−35.6%
Total debt
+0.64%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

42.22 0.43 −1.01%
Market cap
$23.3B
P/E
19.0×
Fwd P/E
17.9×
Dividend yield
1.55%
F-score
4/9
Altman Z
2.52
Beneish M
−3.35
Dividend safety
n/a
Overview Business Profile Earnings & Analysis
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Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $42.22 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 9.5% a year for ten years.

The industry’s median company is priced for 17.3%.

Price implies
9.5%
Industry median implies
17.3%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
9.5% a year for ten years
$42.22
today’s price
Its base case
5.0% a year for five years, then 3.0%
$24.88
41.1% below today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Amrize Ltd’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 9.5% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
Free cash flow Revenue and margin
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Amrize Ltd’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.04 × equity premium 4.5% = 4.5% cost of equity; weighted, 4.5%.

Use 4.5%
Equity value $13.72b ▼ below market cap $23.28b
Base case value per share $24.88 equity value ÷ 551.48m shares
Current price $42.22 market price per share
Below today’s price 41.1% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$8.63b 10 years of cash to equity+$10.64b terminal value−$5.55b net debt=$13.72b equity value÷551.48m shares=$24.88 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Building Materials).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 18.98× 21.12× 21.12× 10% below 18.55× 2% above
P/FCF 20.77× 31.83× 31.83× 35% below 32.17× 35% below
P/B 1.82× 2.47× 2.47× 27% below 2.40× 24% below
EV/EBITDA 9.93× 10.86× 10.86× 9% below 10.02× 1% below
EV/Sales 2.34× 2.58× 2.58× 9% below 2.00× 17% above
P/E P/FCF P/B EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
22.13×28.72×35.31×41.90×10Y avg 31.83×2023202420252026

AMRZ trades at 20.77× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 31.83× (range 20.47×–43.05×). That is cheaper than 67% of the last 3 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $64.71 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.