| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.17 |
—
|
| 2023 | 0.33 |
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.32 |
—
—
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2018 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2016 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 416.24 | 261.46 | 474.22 | 330.91 |
| Receivables | 179.06 | 213.36 | 364.35 | 372.03 |
| Inventory | 460.38 | 540.19 | 580.53 | 658.36 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 1,055.67 | 1,015.00 | 1,419.10 | 1,361.29 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 190.73 | 206.91 | 673.16 | 197.79 |
| ST’ Debt | 207.11 | 99.55 | 213.09 | 440.04 |
| Other | 38.25 | 36.04 | 48.37 | 51.54 |
| 494.05 | 400.32 | 1,026.50 | 787.53 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 398.68 | 531.01 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 325.51 | 382.08 | 304.21 | 415.94 |
1,427.73
|
| ’24 | 261.78 | 411.42 | 471.50 | 374.22 |
1,518.91
|
| ’23 | 246.26 | 402.87 | 385.79 | 263.95 |
1,298.87
|
| ’22 | 206.36 | 383.67 | 386.06 | 371.62 |
1,347.72
|
| ’21 | 174.79 | 289.77 | 325.62 | 334.18 |
1,124.35
|
| ’20 | 156.13 | 181.85 | 236.73 | 243.05 |
817.76
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (2.58) | 124.95 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (19.07) | 130.11 | 27.65 | 169.83 |
308.52
|
| ’24 | (38.70) | 154.50 | 49.07 | 163.46 |
328.33
|
| ’23 | (52.72) | 92.41 | 217.52 | 177.71 |
434.91
|
| ’22 | (22.75) | 70.92 | 88.00 | 233.85 |
370.03
|
| ’21 | (22.88) | 99.46 | 138.17 | 133.92 |
348.66
|
| ’20 | 49.48 | 19.03 | 71.20 | 117.42 |
257.13
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (89.52) | 71.63 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (103.63) | 75.85 | (20.19) | 98.16 |
50.18
|
| ’24 | (133.08) | 113.70 | 2.77 | 107.19 |
90.59
|
| ’23 | (132.41) | 35.87 | 217.57 | 107.79 |
228.82
|
| ’22 | (101.29) | 25.05 | 44.62 | 184.07 |
152.45
|
| ’21 | (82.08) | 63.57 | 70.20 | 95.01 |
146.70
|
| ’20 | (18.48) | 0.10 | 43.51 | 74.51 |
99.64
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.28 | 0.13 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.18 | (0.18) | 0.07 | (0.15) |
(0.08)
|
| ’24 | 0.45 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.16 |
0.90
|
| ’23 | 0.20 | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
2.11
|
| ’22 | 0.57 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.03 |
0.98
|
| ’21 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.32 | 0.53 |
1.13
|
| ’20 | (0.47) | (0.10) | 0.17 | 0.41 |
0.00
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 6.95 | 7.34 | 8.72 | 6.89 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.55 | 12.51 | 12.08 | 11.79 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9,776 | 9,762 | 10,320 | 10,283 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.14 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,347.72 | 1,298.87 | 1,518.91 | 1,427.73 | — | — | — |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34.55% | 31.98% | 28.63% | 24.60% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 135.36 | 305.39 | 35.09 | (6.93) | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.04% | 23.51% | 2.31% | (0.49%) | — | — | — |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 108.61 | 226.72 | 92.10 | (6.76) | — | — | — |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 254.38 | 274.10 | 304.02 | 271.47 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.24 | 12.13 | 14.80 | 13.98 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 0.98 | 2.11 | 0.90 | (0.08) | — | — | — |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.36 | 4.06 | 3.20 | 3.02 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.98) | (1.92) | (2.32) | (2.53) | — | — | — |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.38 | 2.14 | 0.88 | 0.49 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.57 | 11.82 | 13.72 | 17.56 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 110.08 | 107.09 | 102.60 | 102.09 | — | — | — |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.63 | 5.14 | 10.60 | 0.00 | — | — | — |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.62 | 0.90 | 0.64 | 0.57 | — | — | — |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.71 | 0.92 | 0.69 | 0.45 | — | — | — |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.12 | 1.27 | 0.98 | 1.35 | — | — | — |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.90 | 7.23 | 16.40 | 38.43 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 370.03 | 434.91 | 328.33 | 308.52 | — | — | — |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (217.57) | (206.09) | (237.74) | (258.34) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 152.45 | 228.82 | 90.59 | 50.18 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 412.17 | 561.62 | 614.68 | 392.59 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,007.75 | 904.95 | 779.56 | 1,593.01 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 678.39 | 488.71 | 518.10 | 1,118.79 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,163.64 | 1,265.65 | 1,408.10 | 1,792.29 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.80% | 7.21% | 2.94% | (0.20%) | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.48% | 8.61% | 5.92% | 2.02% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.78% | 18.63% | 6.91% | (0.52%) | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO), a diversified South American agribusiness powerhouse spanning crops, ethanol, and dairy across Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay, has demonstrated impressive resilience through commodity supercycles, weather shocks, and emerging market turbulence. Revenue has surged 75% from $869 million in 2016 to $1.52 billion in 2024, fueled by yield improvements, ethanol demand, and expansions like Uruguay rice milling, with revenue per share doubling to $14.80 amid share buybacks. Yet, profitability remains cyclical: net income peaked at $227 million in 2023 on war-boosted grains before plunging 89% in EBT for 2024 due to normalizing prices, El Niño droughts, and Argentina’s forex woes, compressing gross margins from 43% to 28.6%.
AGRO’s balance sheet shines as a fortress, with equity up 105% to $1.41 billion, debt cut 23% to $780 million, and leverage at an attractive EV/Sales of 0.98x—undervaluing its sales growth and productivity gains (revenue per employee +41%). Trading at dirt-cheap multiples (PE 10.6x, PS 0.64x, PB 0.69x), the stock has lagged fundamentals despite tripling from 2020 lows during the commodity boom, now hovering near annual floors amid margin squeezes.
Analysts see 21-68% upside, betting on rebounding yields, Brazil’s ethanol mandates, and global food demand, with EPS potentially recovering to $1.00+ and ROE climbing to 8-10% via cost controls and capex in climate resilience. While risks like La Niña floods and geopolitics loom, AGRO’s diversification and free cash flow potential position it for a valuation catch-up—making it a compelling EM ag play worth a deeper dive.
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