Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.

AEIS Industrials Electrical Equipment & Parts

Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.8 billion, up 21.4% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+50.3%
EPS
+135.0%
Free cash flow
−33.1%
Total debt
+123.3%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

195.99 10.33 +5.56%
Market cap
$7.5B
P/E
25.4×
Fwd P/E
26.9×
Dividend yield
0.21%
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
5.81
Beneish M
−2.43
Dividend safety
82/100

Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $195.99 the price implies revenue of $9.14 billion by year ten, growing 14.9% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew −7.8% a year over the last ten years, −20.9% over the last five.

In December 2017 the price assumed 2.0% a year; Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay −9.9% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
14.9%
Last 5 years, reported
−20.9%
Last 10 years, reported
−7.8%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
14.9% a year for ten years
$195.99
today’s price
Its base case
15.8% a year for five years, then 9.5%
$164.67
16.0% below today’s price

Both are growth in revenue, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Revenue and margin
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in revenue. It usually slows as the company matures.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.37 × equity premium 4.5% = 10.5% cost of equity; weighted, 10.5%.

Use 10.5%
Equity value $6.77b ▼ below market cap $8.06b
Base case value per share $164.67 equity value ÷ 41.13m shares
Current price $195.99 market price per share
Below today’s price 16.0% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$1.66b 10 years of cash to equity+$4.95b terminal value+$158.70m net cash=$6.77b equity value÷41.13m shares=$164.67 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Electrical Equipment & Parts).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 25.40× 41.15× 33.27× 24% below 24.14× 5% above
P/FCF 108.15× 56.38× 48.09× 125% above 22.24× 386% above
P/B 4.75× 4.12× 4.12× 15% above 2.49× 91% above
EV/EBITDA 17.09× 24.55× 20.69× 17% below 12.18× 40% above
EV/Sales 3.26× 2.94× 2.83× 15% above 1.79× 82% above
19.75×38.20×56.65×75.09×10Y avg 33.27×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

AEIS trades at 25.40× P/E, against a 10-year average of 33.27× (range 11.45×–80.30×). That is cheaper than 67% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $256.71 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.