Autodesk, Inc.
ADSK Technology Software Application
Autodesk, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended January 2026) was $7.2 billion, up 17.5% from fiscal 2025.
- Revenue
- +16.1%
- EPS
- +59.2%
- Free cash flow
- +24.8%
- Total debt
- −20.0%
Quarter to July 2026, against a year earlier
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Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) valuation and DCF model
At $262.36 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 8.9% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 74.2% a year over the last ten years, 6.8% over the last five. The price asks for less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 15.8%.
In January 2019 the price assumed 33.4% a year; Autodesk, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 59.5% a year to FY2026.
- The price needs
- 8.9% a year for ten years
- $262.36
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
- $602.93
- 129.8% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Autodesk, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$40.62b 10 years of cash to equity+$85.78b terminal value+$2.17b net cash=$128.57b equity value÷213.25m shares=$602.93 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 34.68× | 51.90× | 78.07× | 56% below | 25.90× | 34% above | |
| P/FCF | 20.18× | 30.78× | 56.72× | 64% below | 17.17× | 18% above | |
| P/B | 16.72× | 26.00× | 35.55× | 53% below | 2.60× | 543% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.72× | 31.17× | 97.56× | 81% below | 15.48× | 21% above | |
| EV/Sales | 6.98× | 8.93× | 11.24× | 38% below | 2.89× | 141% above |
ADSK trades at 6.98× EV/Sales, against a 10-year average of 11.24× (range 6.98×–16.51×). That is cheaper than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $416.08 per share.