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Market map S&P 500, sized by market cap, shaded by year-to-date change

Google reported Q3 earnings that missed revenue and EPS expectations despite 103% cloud growth, with ad sales underperforming and total revenue excluding traffic acquisition costs near estimates. EPS was $2.12 on $127.58B revenue; expectations were $3.01 and $127.93B. Free cash flow worsened to -$9.06B from -$5.85B. Google unveiled Gemini 4 Carbon amid AI excitement, claiming superior performance against rivals, and cited over 1 billion Gemini app users. Competition from Meta’s Muse could threaten monetization of search and shopping as AI-driven services expand. Google also signed with Oracle to supply AI processors, adding to the hyperscaler competitive dynamics.

Google missed Q3 revenue and EPS estimates as ad sales slowed, posting revenue of $127.58B and EPS of $2.12 versus expectations of $127.93B and $3.01. Excluding traffic acquisition costs, revenue was $111.21B, just below $111.29B consensus. Advertising revenue fell to $82.01B from expectations of $83.5B, while Google Cloud grew 103% to $30.71B, beating the $29.1B forecast. Free cash flow worsened, turning to -$9.06B from -$5.85B in Q2. The results came as Alphabet unveiled Gemini 4 Carbon, its latest frontier AI model, and highlighted rapid Stripe-like user growth for its Gemini app, exceeding 1 billion users. Competition with Meta’s Muse and Oracle’s AI processor deals add to AI-race headwinds. The stock dropped over 8% intraday; market sentiment remains mixed on AI investments and profitability amid intensifying competition.

Apple unveils a MacBook Pro with PROLED XDR Display, its first touchscreen laptop, available in 14” and 16” models. The OLED touchscreen promises enhanced colors and brightness, and includes the iPhone-inspired Dynamic Island housing the Center Stage webcam, Siri AI, and Live Activities. Configurations offer M5 Pro or M5 Max processors. Pricing starts at $2,899 for the 14” and $3,199 for the 16”, marking a $300 increase tied to global memory and storage shortages. The move follows rivals like Microsoft, HP, and Dell in offering touchscreens on laptops. Apple’s broader product cadence continues with refreshed Mac, iMac, and iPad lines, signaling a shift in device strategy alongside its sizable hardware segment contribution to revenue.

Microsoft is set to report Q1 earnings under its new two-segment structure: Agents and Infra (Azure, Microsoft 365 cloud, server licensing, industry solutions, frontier and support) and Devices and Consumer (search/ads, Xbox, Windows OEM). Markets expect EPS of $4.27 on $90.6B revenue, up from year-ago figures. Agents and Infra revenue is forecast at $75.6B, with Azure $32.2B and Microsoft 365 $27.4B; Devices and Consumer projected to fall 6% to $15B. Capital expenditures may exceed $45.9B; remaining performance obligations rising to $705.6B. Separately, Microsoft launched buyouts for up to ~60,000 employees to cut costs amid AI expansion. Investors will watch Azure/Copilot uptake and how the new structure affects profitability and guidance.

China’s STAR 50 AI/chip index collapsed about 40% from its July peak, erasing roughly $480 billion in market value over four months, with gains concentrated in a handful of AI names. U.S.-listed KraneShares’ KSTR fell 42-43% since June, wiping out its summer rally; QQQ lagged in drawdown but remains higher for the year. Analysts warn the move reflects extreme valuations, crowded one-theme exposure, and state-backed selling ahead of a bubble burst. The drop underscores how a single-country, single-theme fund magnifies risk, and it foreshadows potential further downside before footing stabilizes. U.S. investors are warned that America’s AI bets, including heavy top-weight concentration in QQQ, may face similar downside pressures if demand, earnings, or policy shifts fail to support valuations. Free reports and top-stock recommendations leverage continued AI enthusiasm despite the risk.

Also on 28 October

27 October