PBF Energy Inc.

PBF Energy Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

PBF Energy Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $29.3 billion, down 11.4% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+58.6%
EPS
+766.0%
Free cash flow
+3,603.8%
Total debt
−11.8%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

68.57 0.20 +0.29%
Market cap
$8.3B
P/E
3.0×
Fwd P/E
2.7×
Dividend yield
1.60%
F-score
4/9
Altman Z
2.90
Beneish M
−2.64
Dividend safety
14/100

PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $68.57 the price implies the cash flow shrinking by more than 20% a year.

The industry’s median company is priced for −7.6%.

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
Its base case
5.0% a year for five years, then 3.0%
$389.13
467.5% above today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record PBF Energy Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against PBF Energy Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.11 × equity premium 4.5% = 4.8% cost of equity; weighted, 4.8%.

Use 4.8%
Equity value $46.63b ▲ above market cap $8.22b
Base case value per share $389.13 equity value ÷ 119.83m shares
Current price $68.57 market price per share
Above today’s price 467.5% upside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$20.69b 10 years of cash to equity+$25.53b terminal value+$409.80m net cash=$46.63b equity value÷119.83m shares=$389.13 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 3.03× 5.16× 9.77× 69% below 8.38× 64% below
P/FCF 3.15× 5.13× 6.27× 50% below 5.86× 46% below
P/B 1.02× 0.78× 0.85× 21% above 1.70× 40% below
EV/EBITDA 1.76× 3.45× 4.44× 60% below 4.96× 64% below
EV/Sales 0.20× 0.15× 0.18× 10% above 0.46× 56% below
4.75×11.30×17.84×24.39×10Y avg 9.77×20162017201820192021202220232026

PBF trades at 3.03× P/E, against a 10-year average of 9.77× (range 1.60×–26.35×). That is cheaper than 71% of the last 7 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $221.27 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.