Altria Group, Inc.
Altria Group, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $23.3 billion, down 3.08% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +0.99%
- EPS
- +6.83%
- Free cash flow
- −1.35%
- Total debt
- −6.38%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Altria Group, Inc. (MO) valuation and DCF model
At $76.88 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 3.1% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 7.5% a year over the last ten years, 1.9% over the last five. The price asks for less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 7.2%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 13.2% a year; Altria Group, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 8.6% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 3.1% a year for ten years
- $76.88
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 7.5% a year for five years, then 4.5%
- $99.90
- 29.9% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Altria Group, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$80.75b 10 years of cash to equity+$107.82b terminal value−$21.36b net debt=$167.20b equity value÷1.67b shares=$99.90 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 16.05× | 12.29× | 15.02× | 7% above | 16.05× | 0% above | |
| P/FCF | 14.28× | 10.75× | 12.63× | 13% above | 26.00× | 45% below | |
| P/B | — | 13.26× | 13.26× | — | 0.88× | — | |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.05× | 9.99× | 10.75× | 21% above | 10.60× | 23% above | |
| EV/Sales | 6.42× | 4.85× | 4.76× | 35% above | 1.06× | 505% above |
MO trades at 16.05× P/E, against a 10-year average of 15.02× (range 7.98×–35.63×). That is dearer than 78% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $71.93 per share.