Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $10.8 billion, up 1.65% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +13.5%
- EPS
- +2.30%
- Free cash flow
- +124.6%
- Total debt
- +6.51%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) valuation and DCF model
At $91.93 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 17.0% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 8.8% a year over the last ten years, 6.3% over the last five. The price asks for about twice its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 12.3%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 14.6% a year; Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 11.2% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 17.0% a year for ten years
- $91.93
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 8.8% a year for five years, then 5.3%
- $33.33
- 63.7% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$20.10b 10 years of cash to equity+$27.92b terminal value−$18.19b net debt=$29.83b equity value÷894.78m shares=$33.33 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 29.89× | 25.71× | 22.59× | 32% above | 26.90× | 11% above | |
| P/FCF | 38.53× | 42.24× | 39.31× | 2% below | 26.38× | 46% above | |
| P/B | 2.46× | 2.21× | 3.84× | 36% below | 3.70× | 33% below | |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.70× | 19.19× | 17.25× | 3% above | 13.48× | 31% above | |
| EV/Sales | 8.70× | 9.29× | 8.53× | 2% above | 4.34× | 101% above |
CP trades at 29.89× P/E, against a 10-year average of 22.59× (range 14.29×–29.89×). That is dearer than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $69.47 per share.