AeroVironment, Inc.

AVAV Industrials Aerospace & Defense

AeroVironment, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended April 2026) was $2.0 billion, up 140.9% from fiscal 2025.

Revenue
+5.68%
EPS
+93.1%
Free cash flow
+76.9%
Total debt
+0.60%

Quarter to July 2026, against a year earlier

112.32 11.21 −9.07%
Market cap
$6.3B
P/E
0.0×
Fwd P/E
268×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
2/9
Altman Z
4.84
Beneish M
−1.03
Dividend safety
n/a

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $112.32 the price implies revenue of $7.00 billion by year ten, growing 13.3% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
13.3% a year for ten years
$112.32
today’s price
Its base case
23.8% a year for five years, then 14.3%
$183.95
63.8% above today’s price

Both are growth in revenue, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record AeroVironment, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Revenue and margin
the four quarters to July 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in revenue. It usually slows as the company matures.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against AeroVironment, Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.41 × equity premium 4.5% = 10.6% cost of equity; weighted, 10.6%.

Use 10.6%
Equity value $9.12b ▲ above market cap $5.57b
Base case value per share $183.95 equity value ÷ 49.59m shares
Current price $112.32 market price per share
Above today’s price 63.8% upside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$1.71b 10 years of cash to equity+$7.56b terminal value−$149.83m net debt=$9.12b equity value÷49.59m shares=$183.95 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Aerospace & Defense).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E — 70.37× 66.97× — 31.60× —
P/FCF — 65.42× 65.42× — 33.23× —
P/B 1.40× 3.65× 3.55× 60% below 2.99× 53% below
EV/EBITDA 28.45× 37.92× 35.38× 20% below 19.00× 50% above
EV/Sales 3.16× 4.79× 4.67× 32% below 3.37× 6% below
42.39×64.42×86.44×108.46×10Y avg 66.97×2017201820192020202120242025

P/E has no reading today; its 10-year average is 66.97×.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.